Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Bala Azul in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bala Azul.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bala Azul
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bala Azul have won more games recently than Moratalla.
- Model gives Bala Azul a 49% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Bala Azul Clean Sheet 20%
Moratalla Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bala Azul | Moratalla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 14 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Moratalla
2:0
Nov 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Bala Azul
2:4
May 17, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Bala Azul
8:1
Jan 11, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Moratalla
0:1
Mar 19, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Bala Azul
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bala Azul 85 / 100
Moratalla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bala Azul Moratalla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bala Azul Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Moratalla has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
Bala Azul scored in 69% of their last 32 games.
Moratalla lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bala Azul VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Bala Azul
(Home) 09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4 Caravaca
02 May
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1 Bala Azul
26 Apr
Bala Azul
3 : 4 Muleno CF
19 Apr
Bala Azul
0 : 0 Club Olimpico de Totana
12 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 3 Bala Azul
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09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4 Caravaca
26 Apr
Bala Azul
3 : 4 Muleno CF
19 Apr
Bala Azul
0 : 0 Club Olimpico de Totana
05 Apr
Bala Azul
2 : 0 Real Murcia B
22 Mar
Bala Azul
0 : 0 Minerva
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Moratalla
(Away) 15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4 Moratalla
08 May
Moratalla
0 : 3 UCAM Murcia
01 May
Real Murcia B
4 : 1 Moratalla
20 Apr
Moratalla
2 : 3 Beniel
16 Apr
Molina
8 : 0 Moratalla
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15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4 Moratalla
01 May
Real Murcia B
4 : 1 Moratalla
16 Apr
Molina
8 : 0 Moratalla
03 Apr
Bala Azul
2 : 0 Moratalla
20 Mar
Plus Ultra
0 : 0 Moratalla
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCAM Murcia | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 81:22 | 86 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 69:18 | 84 |
| 3 | Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 85:28 | 83 |
| 4 | Cartagena La Union | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 72:36 | 81 |
| 5 | Ciudad Cieza | 38 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 74:28 | 80 |
| 6 | Bala Azul | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 59:45 | 66 |
| 7 | Lorca FC | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 58:51 | 60 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:42 | 57 |
| 9 | Molina | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 60:45 | 53 |
| 10 | Pinatar | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 50:51 | 52 |
| 11 | Club Edeco Fortuna | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 39:57 | 52 |
| 12 | Plus Ultra | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 44:57 | 48 |
| 13 | Santomera | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 43:57 | 45 |
| 14 | Cartagena FC UCAM | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:61 | 43 |
| 15 | Moratalla | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44:69 | 41 |
| 16 | Calasparra FC | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 45:64 | 41 |
| 17 | Base Abaran | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 28:47 | 36 |
| 18 | FC Puente Tocinos | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 42:85 | 33 |
| 19 | Beniel | 38 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 32:93 | 15 |
| 20 | Lorca Deportiva | 38 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 7:72 | 8 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
