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Bala vs Briton Ferry

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Maes Tegid, Bala
Bala Logo

Bala

1 - 2
FT
Briton Ferry Logo

Briton Ferry

Our Tip

Match Events

61'
Gammond A.
67'
Sub
Walters T. In: Snaith S.
Out: Walters T.
68'
Sub
Price T. In: George R.
Out: Price T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Briton Ferry in this Cymru Premier 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Briton Ferry.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Bala
15%
Draws
21%
Briton Ferry
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Briton Ferry lately — more wins on the board than Bala.
  • Model gives Bala a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Bala Clean Sheet 18%
Briton Ferry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bala Briton Ferry
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Briton Ferry
1:2
Feb 21, 2026 Cymru Premier
Briton Ferry vs Bala
2:1
Nov 7, 2025 Cymru Premier
Briton Ferry vs Bala
2:0
Sep 19, 2025 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Briton Ferry
2:2
Sep 28, 2024 Cymru Premier
Briton Ferry vs Bala
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bala Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarasenko J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Briton Ferry Compare

Top Goalscorer Owen R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Snaith S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bala 85 / 100
Briton Ferry 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bala Briton Ferry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Bala found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Briton Ferry conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Bala remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bala VS Briton Ferry
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bala

(Home)
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1
Newtown
28 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 3
Bala
21 Aug
Bala
3 : 0
Gresford
07 Aug
Bala
2 : 1
Ruthin Town
31 Jul
Bangor 1876
1 : 2
Bala
Page 1 of 6

Briton Ferry

(Away)
31 Aug
Briton Ferry
1 : 4
Barry Town
28 Aug
Cardiff Metropolitan University
3 : 0
Briton Ferry
21 Aug
Flint Town
0 : 1
Briton Ferry
14 Aug
TNS
1 : 0
Briton Ferry
07 Aug
Cambrian United
1 : 1
Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Haverfordwest 32 14 6 12 48:43 48
8 Briton Ferry 32 12 9 11 46:47 45
9 Cardiff Metropolitan University 32 8 14 10 43:51 38
10 Flint Town 32 8 11 13 48:59 35
11 Bala 32 8 8 16 33:45 32
12 Llanelli 32 3 4 25 17:82 13
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)