Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 1-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Holyhead have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Bala have conceded 1.67 and scored 1.53. Head-to-head, Bala have won 1 to Holyhead's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 6, 2016, ending 1:3. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.38) point toward Holyhead. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Holyhead carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Bala's way, sitting at 42%.
- Holyhead arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Holyhead, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bala | Holyhead |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.33 goals.
Attacking prowess: Bala scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Holyhead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.
Holyhead's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
