Sport Picks
Balaguer vs UE Castelldefels
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012 game between Balaguer and UE Castelldefels finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UE Castelldefels
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- UE Castelldefels carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives UE Castelldefels a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Balaguer Clean Sheet 19%
UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Balaguer | UE Castelldefels |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 40 |
| Wins | 3 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.16 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Balaguer
0:0
Nov 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Balaguer vs UE Castelldefels
2:2
Feb 26, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Balaguer vs UE Castelldefels
1:1
Oct 2, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Balaguer
1:2
May 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Balaguer
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Balaguer 10 / 100
UE Castelldefels 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Balaguer UE Castelldefels
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UE Castelldefels Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Balaguer found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).
UE Castelldefels let in goals in 63% of their last 40 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
UE Castelldefels lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS UE Castelldefels
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Balaguer
(Home) 19 May
UE Rubi
10 : 2 Balaguer
11 May
Balaguer
0 : 3 Vilassar de Mar
04 May
UE Rapitenca
5 : 2 Balaguer
01 May
Balaguer
0 : 4 CE Europa
27 Apr
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0 Balaguer
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11 May
Balaguer
0 : 3 Vilassar de Mar
01 May
Balaguer
0 : 4 CE Europa
20 Apr
Balaguer
1 : 2 Olot
29 Mar
Balaguer
0 : 1 Palamos CF
16 Mar
Balaguer
0 : 4 Manlleu AEC
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UE Castelldefels
(Away) 11 May
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2 FE Grama
05 May
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0 UE Castelldefels
01 May
UE Castelldefels
2 : 1 Peralada
28 Apr
Montanesa
1 : 0 UE Castelldefels
21 Apr
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2 FC Vilafranca
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05 May
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0 UE Castelldefels
28 Apr
Montanesa
1 : 0 UE Castelldefels
13 Apr
FC Lescala
4 : 2 UE Castelldefels
29 Mar
UE Tona
4 : 1 UE Castelldefels
17 Mar
UE Rapitenca
0 : 1 UE Castelldefels
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prat | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 57:27 | 75 |
| 2 | Espanyol B | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 68:30 | 70 |
| 3 | Manlleu AEC | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 73:48 | 65 |
| 4 | Pobla Mafumet | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 52:27 | 64 |
| 5 | Cornella | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 52:35 | 62 |
| 6 | Santboia | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 47:43 | 58 |
| 7 | Terrassa | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 57:55 | 58 |
| 8 | FC Vilafranca | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 51:61 | 53 |
| 9 | Gava | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 49:50 | 53 |
| 10 | Olot | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 53:54 | 51 |
| 11 | UE Rubi | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 61:54 | 50 |
| 12 | Balaguer | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 36:52 | 49 |
| 13 | UE Castelldefels | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:47 | 49 |
| 14 | UE Vic | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 44:50 | 47 |
| 15 | Montanesa | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 42:54 | 47 |
| 16 | CE Europa | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 38:46 | 46 |
| 17 | Gramenet | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 45:52 | 43 |
| 18 | CF Vilanova | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44:58 | 41 |
| 19 | Amposta | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 52:85 | 31 |
| 20 | CD Masnou | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32:68 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
