Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Balatonfuredi vs Kelen

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Northwest 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Molnar K.
45' Event
Katko K.
53' Event
Redling K.

AI Match Summary

Balatonfuredi in this NB III - Northwest 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Balatonfuredi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Balatonfuredi
15%
Draws
76%
Kelen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kelen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Kelen have won more games recently than Balatonfuredi.
  • Kelen are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Balatonfuredi Clean Sheet 16%
Kelen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balatonfuredi Kelen
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 22 20
Goals Scored 0.76 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 NB III - Northwest
Balatonfuredi vs Kelen
3:1
Oct 27, 2024 NB III - Northwest
Kelen vs Balatonfuredi
0:2
Jun 29, 2024 Club Friendly
Balatonfuredi vs Kelen
0:2
Mar 31, 2024 NB III - Northwest
Kelen vs Balatonfuredi
1:1
Sep 9, 2023 NB III - Northwest
Balatonfuredi vs Kelen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Balatonfuredi Compare

Top Goalscorer Redling K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Molnar K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Kelen Compare

Top Goalscorer Katko K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balatonfuredi 28 / 100
Kelen 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balatonfuredi Kelen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kelen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kelen has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Balatonfuredi's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Balatonfuredi has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Balatonfuredi VS Kelen
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 5.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Balatonfuredi

(Home)
22 Aug
Heviz
3 : 1
Balatonfuredi
24 May
Tatabanya
3 : 0
Balatonfuredi
17 May
Balatonfuredi
0 : 2
Gyirmot FC Gyor
10 May
Gyor II
1 : 1
Balatonfuredi
03 May
Balatonfuredi
1 : 3
Dorogi FC
Page 1 of 7

Kelen

(Away)
20 Jun
Kelen
1 : 10
Paks
29 Oct
Kelen
0 : 1
Kazincbarcika
14 Sept
Kelen
3 : 2
Tarpa
23 Aug
Kelen
1 : 0
Dunaujvaros
03 Aug
Villanyi
1 : 2
Kelen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mosonmagyarovari TE 30 21 6 3 58:18 69
2 Bicskei 30 21 2 7 54:26 65
3 VSC Veszprem 30 17 6 7 42:27 57
4 Gyor II 30 16 5 9 53:49 53
5 Puskas Academy II 30 15 7 8 47:32 52
6 III. Keruleti TVE 30 14 6 10 56:39 48
7 Budaorsi SC 30 14 5 11 56:50 47
8 Komaromi VSE 30 12 10 8 48:35 46
9 Erdi 30 13 4 13 31:30 43
10 Sopron 30 8 10 12 33:40 34
11 Ujpest II 30 8 5 17 42:53 29
12 Dorogi FC 30 7 8 15 35:50 29
13 Haladas VSE 30 6 11 13 37:54 29
14 Balatonfuredi 30 7 6 17 29:46 27
15 Gyirmot FC Gyor II 30 5 7 18 41:75 22
16 Kelen 30 5 4 21 24:62 19
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs 2024/2025 (Main)