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Baleares vs Coruxo FC

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Balear
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Gandarillas M.
57'
Marchante B.
86' Event
Miguelito

AI Match Summary

Baleares host Coruxo FC in the Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Baleares at 1.75 goals for, 0.63 against; Coruxo FC at 1.38 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Baleares have won 2 to Coruxo FC's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.00) point toward Baleares. Baleares in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Baleares
22%
Draws
18%
Coruxo FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Baleares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Baleares has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Coruxo FC.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Baleares.
  • Cup tournament structure in Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Baleares Clean Sheet 68%
Coruxo FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baleares Coruxo FC
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 15 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Baleares vs Coruxo FC
1:1
May 10, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Coruxo FC vs Baleares
0:3
Feb 16, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Coruxo FC vs Baleares
1:1
Sep 29, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Baleares vs Coruxo FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baleares Compare

Top Goalscorer Miguelito
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Coruxo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gandarillas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baleares 68 / 100
Coruxo FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baleares Coruxo FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baleares scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Coruxo FC let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Baleares went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Coruxo FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baleares VS Coruxo FC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Alaves B2
Jaen3
Baleares4
Coruxo FC1
Deportiva Minera0
CD Coria1
Real Oviedo B3
Tudelano1
UD Logrones4
Getafe B1
San Sebastian Reyes3
Alcoyano1
UD Ourense2
Reus FC Reddis1
Conquense1
Xerez CD1
Aguilas FC4
Utebo FC2
UD Poblense3
Numancia1
Final
Jaen4
Baleares2
CD Coria4
Real Oviedo B0
UD Logrones2
San Sebastian Reyes1
UD Ourense3
Conquense0
Aguilas FC2
UD Poblense1