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Baleares vs UD Poblense

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Andone F.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Baleares and UD Poblense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baleares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Baleares
15%
Draws
39%
UD Poblense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baleares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baleares come out ahead of UD Poblense on wins alone.
  • Baleares are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Baleares Clean Sheet 20%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baleares UD Poblense
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 20 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.75 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.84 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Club Friendly
UD Poblense vs Baleares
1:0
Feb 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
UD Poblense vs Baleares
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Baleares vs UD Poblense
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Baleares vs UD Poblense
1:0
Aug 21, 2024 Club Friendly
Baleares vs UD Poblense
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baleares Compare

Top Goalscorer Andone F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

UD Poblense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baleares 85 / 100
UD Poblense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baleares UD Poblense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baleares Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baleares's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Baleares stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

UD Poblense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Baleares VS UD Poblense
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Baleares

(Home)
22 Aug
San Sebastian Reyes
0 : 3
Baleares
21 Aug
Real Madrid C
0 : 2
Baleares
15 Aug
Mallorca B
1 : 3
Baleares
14 Aug
UD Poblense
1 : 0
Baleares
01 Aug
Baleares
4 : 1
Santanyi
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UD Poblense

(Away)
14 Aug
UD Poblense
1 : 0
Baleares
31 May
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Aguilas FC
24 May
Aguilas FC
0 : 0
UD Poblense
17 May
UD Poblense
2 : 1
Numancia
10 May
Numancia
0 : 1
UD Poblense
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