Sport Picks
Balikesirspor vs Bucaspor 1928 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Turkey
3. Lig Group 2 Balikesir Ataturk Stadyumu, Balikesir 
Match Events
36'
36'
Gayla A.
Assist: Kaya E.
47'
47'
Gemici E.
(Penalty)
61'
61'
Gayla A.
AI Match Summary
The 3. Lig Group 2 game between Balikesirspor and Bucaspor 1928 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Balikesirspor.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Balikesirspor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Balikesirspor carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Balikesirspor's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Bucaspor 1928 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Balikesirspor Clean Sheet 15%
Bucaspor 1928 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Balikesirspor | Bucaspor 1928 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 3 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 2.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Balikesirspor vs Bucaspor 1928
4:1
Apr 2, 2023 2. Lig Red Group
Balikesirspor vs Bucaspor 1928
0:3
Oct 23, 2022 2. Lig Red Group
Bucaspor 1928 vs Balikesirspor
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Balikesirspor Compare
Top Goalscorer Gayla A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Dede E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Bucaspor 1928 Compare
Top Goalscorer Caner O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Balikesirspor 84 / 100
Bucaspor 1928 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Balikesirspor Bucaspor 1928
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Balikesirspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Balikesirspor found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).
Bucaspor 1928 has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.
Balikesirspor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Balikesirspor VS Bucaspor 1928
2.5 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Balikesirspor
(Home) 07 Oct
Bigaspor
0 : 3 Balikesirspor
03 Oct
Bigaspor
3 : 2 Balikesirspor
27 Sept
Eskisehirspor
7 : 1 Balikesirspor
19 Sept
Balikesirspor
4 : 1 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
13 Sept
Alanya 1221
0 : 3 Balikesirspor
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Balikesirspor
4 : 1 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
06 Sept
Balikesirspor
4 : 1 Bucaspor 1928
24 Apr
Balikesirspor
2 : 1 Eskisehirspor
12 Apr
Balikesirspor
1 : 1 Eskisehirspor
29 Mar
Balikesirspor
1 : 2 Ayvalikgucu
Page 1 of 3
Bucaspor 1928
(Away) 03 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 0 Bucaspor 1928
27 Sept
Bucaspor 1928
1 : 2 Altay
20 Sept
Etimesgut
2 : 0 Bucaspor 1928
16 Sept
Bucaspor 1928
0 : 4 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
12 Sept
Bucaspor 1928
2 : 1 Aksehirspor
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 0 Bucaspor 1928
20 Sept
Etimesgut
2 : 0 Bucaspor 1928
06 Sept
Balikesirspor
4 : 1 Bucaspor 1928
24 Apr
Karacabey Bld.
0 : 1 Bucaspor 1928
12 Apr
Altinordu
2 : 0 Bucaspor 1928
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gemlikspor | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Etimesgut | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | 12 |
| 3 | Eskisehir Anadolu | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:3 | 11 |
| 4 | Bursa Yildirimspor | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 11 |
| 5 | Eskisehirspor | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 |
| 6 | Ayvalikgucu | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 7 | Balikesirspor | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 8 | Bigaspor | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 9 | Soke 1970 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 10 | Altay | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Gaziemir Spor Kulubu | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 12 | Usak Belediyespor Kulubu | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 13 | Karsiyaka | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 14 | Bucaspor 1928 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 15 | Aksehirspor | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:13 | 3 |
| 16 | Kepez Bld. | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | 2 |
| 17 | Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1:10 | 2 |
| 18 | Alanya 1221 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:13 | 1 |
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)
