Sport Picks
Balikpapan vs Dejan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Indonesia
Championship Stadion Batakan, Balikpapan 
Match Events
40'
40'
Supriadi M.
46'
46'
Sub
Febrianto I. In: Bajo I.
Out: Febrianto I.
46'
46'
Sub
Aziz A. In: El-Burji W.
Out: Aziz A.
AI Match Summary
Dejan in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dejan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dejan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Dejan have won more games recently than Balikpapan.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Balikpapan Clean Sheet 20%
Dejan Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Balikpapan | Dejan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 26 |
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.01 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 25, 2026 Championship
Balikpapan vs Dejan
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Balikpapan Compare
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51
Dejan Compare
Top Goalscorer Supriadi M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Balikpapan 32 / 100
Dejan 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Balikpapan Dejan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dejan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.
Away concern: Dejan has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Balikpapan scored in 54% of their last 28 games.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Balikpapan VS Dejan
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.4
63% Over 1.5 40%
25% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 40%
Recent Form & Match History
Balikpapan
(Home) 04 Oct
Deltras Sidoarjo
2 : 0 Balikpapan
25 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Dejan
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Persela Lamongan
13 Sept
RANS Nusantara
3 : 2 Balikpapan
08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2 Balikpapan
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Dejan
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Persela Lamongan
26 Apr
Balikpapan
1 : 1 PSS Sleman
04 Apr
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Persipura Jayapura
01 Mar
Balikpapan
0 : 0 PSIS Semarang
Page 1 of 3
Dejan
(Away) 02 Oct
Dejan
1 : 3 Persipura Jayapura
25 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Dejan
19 Sept
Dejan
3 : 3 RANS Nusantara
12 Sept
Dejan
0 : 1 Tornado Pekanbaru
15 Feb
Isenmulang Kalteng
1 : 0 Dejan
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Dejan
15 Feb
Isenmulang Kalteng
1 : 0 Dejan
04 Feb
Persikabo 1973
1 : 3 Dejan
19 Jan
Bekasi City
1 : 1 Dejan
05 Jan
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 0 Dejan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSMS Medan | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:2 | 10 |
| 2 | PSIS Semarang | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Persikad Depok | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | 9 |
| 4 | PSPS Riau | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 5 | Semen Padang | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 6 | PSGC Ciamis | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Sumsel United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Persiraja Aceh | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:8 | 2 |
| 9 | Bekasi City | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 10 | Persiku Kudus | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:12 | -1 |
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Persela Lamongan | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 11 |
| 3 | RANS Nusantara | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 10 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 5 | Persipura Jayapura | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 6 | PS Barito Putera | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 7 | Persis Solo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 8 | Dejan | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | -4 |
| 10 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:23 | -4 |
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)
