Sport Picks
Balikpapan vs Persela Lamongan
Indonesia
Championship Stadion Batakan, Balikpapan 
Match Events
38'
38'
Mukhram A.
46'
46'
Sub
Ardiana A. In: Artomoro C.
Out: Ardiana A.
46'
46'
Sub
Rizal R. In: Amru J.
Out: Rizal R.
AI Match Summary
The Championship game between Balikpapan and Persela Lamongan finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Persela Lamongan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
15%
68%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Persela Lamongan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Persela Lamongan carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Balikpapan's way, sitting at 36%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Persela Lamongan have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Balikpapan Clean Sheet 10%
Persela Lamongan Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Balikpapan | Persela Lamongan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Championship
Balikpapan vs Persela Lamongan
0:1
Mar 28, 2026 Championship
Persela Lamongan vs Balikpapan
2:0
Jan 4, 2026 Championship
Persela Lamongan vs Balikpapan
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 Championship
Balikpapan vs Persela Lamongan
0:3
Nov 5, 2017 Super League
Persela Lamongan vs Balikpapan
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Balikpapan Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Persela Lamongan Compare
Top Goalscorer Juninho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Balikpapan 34 / 100
Persela Lamongan 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Balikpapan Persela Lamongan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Persela Lamongan let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Balikpapan scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Balikpapan stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Balikpapan VS Persela Lamongan
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Balikpapan
(Home) 25 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Dejan
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Persela Lamongan
13 Sept
RANS Nusantara
3 : 2 Balikpapan
08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2 Balikpapan
03 May
Deltras Sidoarjo
2 : 1 Balikpapan
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Dejan
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Persela Lamongan
26 Apr
Balikpapan
1 : 1 PSS Sleman
04 Apr
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Persipura Jayapura
01 Mar
Balikpapan
0 : 0 PSIS Semarang
Page 1 of 3
Persela Lamongan
(Away) 27 Sept
Persela Lamongan
6 : 0 PSBS Biak Numfor
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Persela Lamongan
13 Sept
Persela Lamongan
2 : 0 Persis Solo
29 Aug
Persela Lamongan
1 : 0 PSPS Riau
03 May
Tornado Pekanbaru
5 : 0 Persela Lamongan
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Persela Lamongan
03 May
Tornado Pekanbaru
5 : 0 Persela Lamongan
11 Apr
Persipura Jayapura
0 : 0 Persela Lamongan
05 Apr
Deltras Sidoarjo
1 : 2 Persela Lamongan
21 Feb
Persiku Kudus
1 : 0 Persela Lamongan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persikad Depok | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 2 | PSMS Medan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Semen Padang | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 4 | PSPS Riau | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 5 | PSIS Semarang | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 6 | PSGC Ciamis | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 7 | Bekasi City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 8 | Sumsel United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 0 |
| 9 | Persiraja Aceh | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -1 |
| 10 | Persiku Kudus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:7 | -1 |
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Persela Lamongan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:0 | 8 |
| 3 | Persis Solo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 5 | PS Barito Putera | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 6 | RANS Nusantara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 7 | Dejan | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 8 | Persipura Jayapura | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -4 |
| 10 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:18 | -4 |
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)
