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Balikpapan vs Persipura Jayapura

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Stadion Batakan
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Arya D.
38'
Kholmatov S.
46'
Sub
Salampessy R. In: Sroyer J.
Out: Salampessy R.

AI Match Summary

Balikpapan host Persipura Jayapura in the Championship. This has Persipura Jayapura written all over it on paper. Persipura Jayapura have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Balikpapan have conceded 1.5 and scored 0.63. Head-to-head, Balikpapan have won 1 to Persipura Jayapura's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.69 - 1.81) back Persipura Jayapura to edge this. Persipura Jayapura in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Balikpapan
6%
Draws
90%
Persipura Jayapura
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Persipura Jayapura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Persipura Jayapura has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Balikpapan.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Persipura Jayapura.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Championship provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Balikpapan Clean Sheet 11%
Persipura Jayapura Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balikpapan Persipura Jayapura
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 19
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 0.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Championship
Balikpapan vs Persipura Jayapura
0:1
Jan 12, 2026 Championship
Balikpapan vs Persipura Jayapura
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 Championship
Persipura Jayapura vs Balikpapan
1:0
Nov 18, 2023 Championship
Balikpapan vs Persipura Jayapura
3:1
Sep 22, 2023 Championship
Persipura Jayapura vs Balikpapan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Balikpapan Compare

Top Goalscorer Nagashima K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Persipura Jayapura Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balikpapan 10 / 100
Persipura Jayapura 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balikpapan Persipura Jayapura

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balikpapan scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Persipura Jayapura let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Balikpapan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Persipura Jayapura lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Balikpapan VS Persipura Jayapura
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Garudayaksa271410349:1952
2Adhyaksa27149464:3451
3Bekasi City27128742:2744
4Sumsel United27126940:3342
5Persiraja Aceh271010742:3240
6PSPS Riau27910850:4537
7PSMS Medan2799933:3136
8Persikad Depok27971139:4534
9Persekat Tegal27691223:3827
10Sriwijaya27022515:932
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSS Sleman27168353:1956
2Persipura Jayapura27175544:1756
3PS Barito Putera27158441:1853
4Tornado Pekanbaru27155747:2150
5Deltras Sidoarjo271331139:3342
6Persela Lamongan27118834:2641
7Persiku Kudus27761435:4127
8PSIS Semarang27651622:5023
9Balikpapan27471623:4219
10Persipal BU27072019:907