Sport Picks
Balikpapan vs PSIS Semarang
Indonesia
Championship 2025/2026 Stadion Batakan, Balikpapan 
Match Events
43'
43'
Arya D.
46'
46'
Sub
Alikha D. In: Rumbino D.
Out: Alikha D.
56'
56'
Sub
Hamzah A. In: Sormin D.
Out: Hamzah A.
AI Match Summary
The Championship 2025/2026 game between Balikpapan and PSIS Semarang finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSIS Semarang.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSIS Semarang
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- PSIS Semarang carry the better recent record into this one.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Balikpapan taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Balikpapan Clean Sheet 15%
PSIS Semarang Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Balikpapan | PSIS Semarang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Championship
Balikpapan vs PSIS Semarang
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Championship
Balikpapan vs PSIS Semarang
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Championship
PSIS Semarang vs Balikpapan
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Balikpapan Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
PSIS Semarang Compare
Top Goalscorer Sormin D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Balikpapan 35 / 100
PSIS Semarang 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Balikpapan PSIS Semarang
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: PSIS Semarang conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Balikpapan scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Balikpapan stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Balikpapan VS PSIS Semarang
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Balikpapan
(Home) 25 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Dejan
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Persela Lamongan
13 Sept
RANS Nusantara
3 : 2 Balikpapan
08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2 Balikpapan
03 May
Deltras Sidoarjo
2 : 1 Balikpapan
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Dejan
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Persela Lamongan
26 Apr
Balikpapan
1 : 1 PSS Sleman
04 Apr
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Persipura Jayapura
01 Mar
Balikpapan
0 : 0 PSIS Semarang
Page 1 of 3
PSIS Semarang
(Away) 20 Sept
Semen Padang
1 : 1 PSIS Semarang
11 Sept
PSIS Semarang
2 : 1 PSPS Riau
19 Jul
Persebaya
2 : 2 PSIS Semarang
03 May
PSS Sleman
3 : 0 PSIS Semarang
25 Apr
PSIS Semarang
1 : 0 Tornado Pekanbaru
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Semen Padang
1 : 1 PSIS Semarang
19 Jul
Persebaya
2 : 2 PSIS Semarang
03 May
PSS Sleman
3 : 0 PSIS Semarang
18 Apr
Persipura Jayapura
3 : 1 PSIS Semarang
11 Apr
Persiku Kudus
3 : 3 PSIS Semarang
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garudayaksa | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 64:34 | 51 |
| 3 | Bekasi City | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:27 | 44 |
| 4 | Sumsel United | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Persiraja Aceh | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42:32 | 40 |
| 6 | PSPS Riau | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 50:45 | 37 |
| 7 | PSMS Medan | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Persikad Depok | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | 34 |
| 9 | Persekat Tegal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 23:38 | 27 |
| 10 | Sriwijaya | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15:93 | 2 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSS Sleman | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 53:19 | 56 |
| 2 | Persipura Jayapura | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44:17 | 56 |
| 3 | PS Barito Putera | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:21 | 50 |
| 5 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Persela Lamongan | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 |
| 7 | Persiku Kudus | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | 27 |
| 8 | PSIS Semarang | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:50 | 23 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | 19 |
| 10 | Persipal BU | 27 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 19:90 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
