Sport Picks
Balikpapan vs Tornado Pekanbaru
Indonesia
Championship Stadion Batakan, Balikpapan 
Match Events
11'
11'
Alkanza Y.
45'
45'
Patrick
(Penalty)
45'
45'
Widiastono P.
AI Match Summary
Tornado Pekanbaru in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tornado Pekanbaru.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tornado Pekanbaru
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tornado Pekanbaru lately — more wins on the board than Balikpapan.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Tornado Pekanbaru taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Tornado Pekanbaru have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Balikpapan Clean Sheet 13%
Tornado Pekanbaru Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Balikpapan | Tornado Pekanbaru |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 5 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Championship
Tornado Pekanbaru vs Balikpapan
3:0
Dec 28, 2025 Championship
Balikpapan vs Tornado Pekanbaru
1:3
Oct 6, 2025 Championship
Tornado Pekanbaru vs Balikpapan
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Balikpapan Compare
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Tornado Pekanbaru Compare
Top Goalscorer Patrick
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Balikpapan 10 / 100
Tornado Pekanbaru 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Balikpapan Tornado Pekanbaru
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Balikpapan found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Balikpapan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Tornado Pekanbaru let in goals in 52% of their last 27 matches.
Scoring Trends
Balikpapan VS Tornado Pekanbaru
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Balikpapan
(Home) 08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2 Balikpapan
03 May
Deltras Sidoarjo
2 : 1 Balikpapan
26 Apr
Balikpapan
1 : 1 PSS Sleman
18 Apr
PS Barito Putera
3 : 3 Balikpapan
12 Apr
Tornado Pekanbaru
3 : 0 Balikpapan
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Balikpapan
1 : 1 PSS Sleman
04 Apr
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Persipura Jayapura
01 Mar
Balikpapan
0 : 0 PSIS Semarang
15 Feb
Balikpapan
0 : 0 Persiku Kudus
31 Jan
Balikpapan
1 : 2 Deltras Sidoarjo
Page 1 of 3
Tornado Pekanbaru
(Away) 03 May
Tornado Pekanbaru
5 : 0 Persela Lamongan
25 Apr
PSIS Semarang
1 : 0 Tornado Pekanbaru
19 Apr
Deltras Sidoarjo
0 : 2 Tornado Pekanbaru
12 Apr
Tornado Pekanbaru
3 : 0 Balikpapan
04 Apr
Persiku Kudus
1 : 0 Tornado Pekanbaru
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
PSIS Semarang
1 : 0 Tornado Pekanbaru
19 Apr
Deltras Sidoarjo
0 : 2 Tornado Pekanbaru
04 Apr
Persiku Kudus
1 : 0 Tornado Pekanbaru
22 Feb
PS Barito Putera
0 : 0 Tornado Pekanbaru
30 Jan
PSIS Semarang
0 : 3 Tornado Pekanbaru
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garudayaksa | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Adhyaksa | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 64:34 | 51 |
| 3 | Bekasi City | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:27 | 44 |
| 4 | Sumsel United | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Persiraja Aceh | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42:32 | 40 |
| 6 | PSPS Riau | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 50:45 | 37 |
| 7 | PSMS Medan | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Persikad Depok | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | 34 |
| 9 | Persekat Tegal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 23:38 | 27 |
| 10 | Sriwijaya | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15:93 | 2 |
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSS Sleman | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 53:19 | 56 |
| 2 | Persipura Jayapura | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44:17 | 56 |
| 3 | PS Barito Putera | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:21 | 50 |
| 5 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Persela Lamongan | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 |
| 7 | Persiku Kudus | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | 27 |
| 8 | PSIS Semarang | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:50 | 23 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | 19 |
| 10 | Persipal BU | 27 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 19:90 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)
