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Balingen vs Mainz II

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Moreno Fell F.
90' Event
Schmitz M.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 game between Balingen and Mainz II finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Balingen
6%
Draws
90%
Mainz II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mainz II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Balingen haven't matched Mainz II's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mainz II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Balingen Clean Sheet 10%
Mainz II Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balingen Mainz II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 3.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Balingen vs Mainz II
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs Balingen
2:0
Nov 25, 2023 Regionalliga Sudwest
Balingen vs Mainz II
2:3
Aug 15, 2023 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs Balingen
1:1
Apr 22, 2023 Regionalliga Sudwest
Balingen vs Mainz II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Balingen Compare

Top Goalscorer Schmitz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Mainz II Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno Fell F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balingen 10 / 100
Mainz II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balingen Mainz II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Balingen scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Mainz II conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Balingen went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Balingen VS Mainz II
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Balingen

(Home)
19 Jul
Balingen
0 : 7
VfB Stuttgart
16 May
Balingen
1 : 4
Astoria Walldorf
09 May
Schott Mainz
2 : 3
Balingen
02 May
Balingen
1 : 2
Bahlinger
25 Apr
Kassel
2 : 2
Balingen
Page 1 of 6

Mainz II

(Away)
22 Jul
Mainz II
2 : 1
FC Kreuzlingen
11 Jul
Erfurt
0 : 3
Mainz II
08 Jul
TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim
0 : 2
Mainz II
04 Jul
Mainz II
1 : 0
Progres Niedercorn
16 May
Mainz II
0 : 4
Freiburg II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sonnenhof Grossaspach34208686:4368
2Freiberg34188868:3862
3FSV Frankfurt34169964:4857
4FC 08 Homburg341511871:4256
5TSV Steinbach Haiger341681078:5856
6Kassel341591062:5154
7Stutt. Kickers341731451:4454
8Sandhausen341661253:5654
9Mainz II341411952:4553
10Fulda-Lehnerz3413101151:4449
11Freiburg II341461474:7348
12Astoria Walldorf341381364:6547
13Eintracht Trier341381348:5247
14Kickers Offenbach3411101357:5843
15Alzenau34762145:7427
16Schott Mainz34742340:8325
17Balingen34672138:8725
18Bahlinger344102034:7522
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)