Sport Picks
Balkan Botevgrad vs CSKA Sofia III
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
CSKA Sofia III in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSKA Sofia III.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Balkan Botevgrad at 1.38 per game, CSKA Sofia III at 1.3.
- Win probability leans Balkan Botevgrad's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Balkan Botevgrad Clean Sheet 20%
CSKA Sofia III Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Balkan Botevgrad | CSKA Sofia III |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs CSKA Sofia III
1:4
Oct 25, 2025 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Balkan Botevgrad
0:1
Apr 26, 2025 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs CSKA Sofia III
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Balkan Botevgrad
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Balkan Botevgrad 36 / 100
CSKA Sofia III 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Balkan Botevgrad CSKA Sofia III
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Balkan Botevgrad scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
CSKA Sofia III has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Balkan Botevgrad went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Balkan Botevgrad VS CSKA Sofia III
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Balkan Botevgrad
(Home) 19 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
2 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
12 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0 Balkan Botevgrad
05 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0 Levski Sofia II
29 Aug
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 0 Balkan Botevgrad
22 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
2 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
05 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0 Levski Sofia II
22 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
08 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 2 Septemvri Simitli
23 May
Balkan Botevgrad
4 : 0 Gotse Delchev
Page 1 of 3
CSKA Sofia III
(Away) 12 Sept
Levski Sofia II
0 : 0 CSKA Sofia III
05 Sept
CSKA Sofia III
3 : 2 Slavia Sofia 2
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
22 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 1 Kyustendil
15 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 0 CSKA Sofia III
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Levski Sofia II
0 : 0 CSKA Sofia III
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
15 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 0 CSKA Sofia III
01 Aug
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
23 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3 CSKA Sofia III
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
