Sport Picks
Balkan Botevgrad vs CSKA Sofia III
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
CSKA Sofia III in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSKA Sofia III.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: CSKA Sofia III
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to CSKA Sofia III lately — more wins on the board than Balkan Botevgrad.
- Win probability leans CSKA Sofia III's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Balkan Botevgrad Clean Sheet 17%
CSKA Sofia III Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Balkan Botevgrad | CSKA Sofia III |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs CSKA Sofia III
1:4
Oct 25, 2025 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Balkan Botevgrad
0:1
Apr 26, 2025 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs CSKA Sofia III
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Balkan Botevgrad
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Balkan Botevgrad 28 / 100
CSKA Sofia III 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Balkan Botevgrad CSKA Sofia III
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CSK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Balkan Botevgrad scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
CSKA Sofia III has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Balkan Botevgrad went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Balkan Botevgrad VS CSKA Sofia III
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Balkan Botevgrad
(Home) 29 May
Bansko
0 : 2 Balkan Botevgrad
23 May
Balkan Botevgrad
4 : 0 Gotse Delchev
16 May
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 3 Balkan Botevgrad
09 May
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 4 CSKA Sofia III
02 May
Levski Sofia II
1 : 1 Balkan Botevgrad
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Balkan Botevgrad
4 : 0 Gotse Delchev
09 May
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 4 CSKA Sofia III
24 Apr
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0 Septemvri Simitli
09 Apr
Balkan Botevgrad
2 : 0 Slavia Sofia 2
14 Mar
Balkan Botevgrad
3 : 0 Bistritsa
Page 1 of 4
CSKA Sofia III
(Away) 30 May
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0 Kostinbrod
23 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3 CSKA Sofia III
16 May
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0 Rilski Sportist
09 May
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 4 CSKA Sofia III
02 May
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 1 Strumska Slava
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3 CSKA Sofia III
09 May
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 4 CSKA Sofia III
25 Apr
Germaneya
0 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
09 Apr
Bansko
3 : 0 CSKA Sofia III
28 Mar
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)