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Balkan vs IFK Karlshamn

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Hakansson O.
74' Event
Harletun K.
87'
Persson F.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2025 game between Balkan and IFK Karlshamn finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Balkan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Balkan
15%
Draws
36%
IFK Karlshamn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Balkan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • IFK Karlshamn carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Balkan a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Balkan Clean Sheet 10%
IFK Karlshamn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balkan IFK Karlshamn
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 9
Draws 9 3
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.37 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Balkan vs IFK Karlshamn
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Karlshamn vs Balkan
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Balkan vs IFK Karlshamn
2:3
Jun 15, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Karlshamn vs Balkan
2:1
Oct 20, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Balkan vs IFK Karlshamn
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Balkan Compare

Top Goalscorer Harletun K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

IFK Karlshamn Compare

Top Goalscorer Hakansson O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balkan 83 / 100
IFK Karlshamn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balkan IFK Karlshamn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balkan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Karlshamn's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Balkan found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Away concern: IFK Karlshamn has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Balkan VS IFK Karlshamn
2 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Balkan

(Home)
10 Jun
Balkan
2 : 3
Eskilsminne
19 Oct
Solvesborgs
3 : 0
Balkan
13 Oct
Balkan
1 : 2
Osterlen FF
06 Oct
Nosaby IF
1 : 3
Balkan
29 Sept
Balkan
1 : 1
Torns
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IFK Karlshamn

(Away)
05 Sept
Osterlen FF
6 : 0
IFK Karlshamn
29 Aug
IFK Karlshamn
3 : 1
Nosaby IF
21 Aug
Solvesborgs
2 : 1
IFK Karlshamn
15 Aug
IFK Karlshamn
1 : 5
IFK Trelleborg
08 Aug
Oskarshamn
5 : 0
IFK Karlshamn
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kristianstad 26 18 4 4 47:22 58
2 Karlskrona 26 16 5 5 59:28 53
3 IFK Trelleborg 26 13 7 6 58:41 46
4 Solvesborgs 26 13 6 7 54:41 45
5 Vaxjo Norra 26 11 5 10 46:32 38
6 Rappe GOIF 26 9 10 7 29:32 37
7 Torns 26 10 4 12 30:46 34
8 Linero IF 26 10 3 13 39:45 33
9 Nosaby IF 26 9 6 11 41:48 33
10 IFK Karlshamn 26 10 2 14 31:43 32
11 Osterlen FF 26 9 3 14 41:43 30
12 Hogaborgs 26 8 4 14 43:53 28
13 IFK Hassleholm 26 6 4 16 36:58 22
14 Balkan 26 4 9 13 34:56 21
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2025 (Relegation)