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Balkan vs Simrishamn

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Saliu T.
58' Event
Lindstrom M. R.
66' Event
Lloyd L.

AI Match Summary

Simrishamn in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Simrishamn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Balkan
20%
Draws
16%
Simrishamn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Balkan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Balkan at 1.43 per game, Simrishamn at 1.3.
  • Model gives Balkan a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Balkan Clean Sheet 15%
Simrishamn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balkan Simrishamn
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.43 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.06 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Balkan vs Simrishamn
2:3
Jun 1, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Simrishamn vs Balkan
1:2
May 14, 2024 Svenska Cupen
Balkan vs Simrishamn
1:2
Sep 8, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Balkan vs Simrishamn
3:0
May 13, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Simrishamn vs Balkan
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Balkan Compare

Top Goalscorer Saliu T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Green F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.88
Avg xA / game 1.88

Simrishamn Compare

Top Goalscorer Lloyd L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lindstrom M. R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balkan 84 / 100
Simrishamn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balkan Simrishamn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balkan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balkan scored in 80% of their last 35 games.

Simrishamn let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Simrishamn's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Balkan VS Simrishamn
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 6
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Balkan

(Home)
10 Jun
Balkan
2 : 3
Eskilsminne
19 Oct
Solvesborgs
3 : 0
Balkan
13 Oct
Balkan
1 : 2
Osterlen FF
06 Oct
Nosaby IF
1 : 3
Balkan
29 Sept
Balkan
1 : 1
Torns
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Simrishamn

(Away)
28 Feb
Kristianstad
6 : 0
Simrishamn
01 Nov
Simrishamn
3 : 3
Solveborgs GOIF
26 Oct
Solveborgs GOIF
1 : 0
Simrishamn
19 Oct
IFK Trelleborg
3 : 0
Simrishamn
12 Oct
Simrishamn
1 : 2
IFK Hassleholm
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hassleholms IF 26 18 7 1 51:16 61
2 Kristianstad 26 16 6 4 58:28 54
3 Osterlen FF 26 14 3 9 50:45 45
4 Karlskrona 26 12 6 8 52:40 42
5 IFK Karlshamn 26 12 4 10 44:48 40
6 IFK Trelleborg 26 10 7 9 55:44 37
7 Hogaborgs 26 12 1 13 40:40 37
8 Rappe GOIF 26 9 8 9 33:35 35
9 Balkan 26 10 2 14 35:38 32
10 IFK Hassleholm 26 8 5 13 29:40 29
11 Nosaby IF 26 7 5 14 28:43 26
12 Simrishamn 26 7 5 14 33:56 26
13 Lodde 26 6 6 14 32:49 24
14 IFK Berga 26 7 3 16 34:52 24
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024 (Relegation)