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Ballard vs Tacoma Stars

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ballard in this USL League Two 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ballard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ballard
6%
Draws
4%
Tacoma Stars
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ballard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ballard have won more games recently than Tacoma Stars.
  • Model gives Ballard a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Ballard Clean Sheet 68%
Tacoma Stars Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballard Tacoma Stars
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 26 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 2.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 USL League Two
Ballard vs Tacoma Stars
7:0
Jun 4, 2026 USL League Two
Tacoma Stars vs Ballard
1:1
Jul 3, 2025 USL League Two
Ballard vs Tacoma Stars
3:0
Jun 24, 2025 USL League Two
Tacoma Stars vs Ballard
0:11
Jun 9, 2024 USL League Two
Ballard vs Tacoma Stars
3:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballard 95 / 100
Tacoma Stars 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballard Tacoma Stars

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballard found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (34 games).

Tacoma Stars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Ballard has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ballard VS Tacoma Stars
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%