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Ballard vs Ventura

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Dale J.
48' Event
Kosakoff C.
90' Event
Baltes B.

AI Match Summary

Ballard in this USL League Two 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ballard
15%
Draws
39%
Ventura
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ballard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ventura haven't matched Ballard's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ballard a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Ballard have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ventura, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ballard Clean Sheet 10%
Ventura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballard Ventura
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 23 20
Draws 4 5
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 2.69 2.27
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 USL League Two
Ballard vs Ventura
1:2
Jul 26, 2025 USL League Two
Ballard vs Ventura
2:1
Jul 28, 2023 USL League Two
Ballard vs Ventura
4:3
Jul 29, 2022 USL League Two
Ballard vs Ventura
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ballard Compare

Top Goalscorer Dale J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kosakoff C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Ventura Compare

Top Goalscorer Baltes B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballard 83 / 100
Ventura 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballard Ventura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballard scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Ventura conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Ballard has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ballard VS Ventura
3.88 Goals Scored 3.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballard

(Home)
24 Jul
Ballard
1 : 2
Ventura
20 Jul
Ballard
4 : 3
Colorado Storm
18 Jul
Ballard
2 : 1
Utah United
13 Jul
Ballard
4 : 0
Snohomish United
09 Jul
Bigfoot
0 : 4
Ballard
Page 1 of 7

Ventura

(Away)
26 Jul
Flint City
1 : 0
Ventura
24 Jul
Ballard
1 : 2
Ventura
19 Jul
San Francisco City
1 : 6
Ventura
17 Jul
Ventura
1 : 0
Project 51O
12 Jul
Redlands United FC
1 : 1
Ventura
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Vermont Green 4
Hudson Valley 1
Motown 2 2
Western Pioneers 1
Lionsbridge 4
Salem City 0
Northern Virginia 2
West Chester United 0
Dothan United 1
Little Rock Rangers 0
Asheville City 2
Louisiana Krewe 3
Sarasota Paradise 2
Sporting Jax 0
Laredo Heat 1
Fort Lauderdale United 2
Ballard 6
Colorado Storm 0
Utah United 0
Snohomish United 2
Ventura 2
San Juan 1
Almaden 1
Tucson 2
Flint City 4
Steel City 3
Fort Wayne 3
Midwest United 2
Minneapolis City 3
Peoria IL 2
Menace 2
Sueno 4
1/8-finals
Vermont Green 3
Motown 2 2
Lionsbridge 2
Northern Virginia 1
Dothan United 2
Louisiana Krewe 0
Sarasota Paradise 1
Fort Lauderdale United 2
Ballard 2
Snohomish United 1
Ventura 2
Tucson 0
Flint City 2
Fort Wayne 0
Minneapolis City 2
Sueno 0
Quarter-finals
Vermont Green 3
Lionsbridge 1
Dothan United 2
Fort Lauderdale United 1
Ballard 2
Ventura 1
Flint City 2
Minneapolis City 1
Semi-finals
Vermont Green 1
Dothan United 0
Ballard 2
Flint City 1
Final
Vermont Green 2
Ballard 1