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Ballinamallard vs Ards Rangers

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2021/2022
Sat, Jan 8, 2022
2 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

104' Event
McEvoy S.
111' Event
Campbell P.

AI Match Summary

Ballinamallard in this Irish Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Ballinamallard
20%
Draws
7%
Ards Rangers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ballinamallard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Ards Rangers have won more games recently than Ballinamallard.
  • Win probability leans Ballinamallard's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Ards Rangers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ballinamallard, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 19%
Ards Rangers Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballinamallard Ards Rangers
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 1
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.23 2.86
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2022 Irish Cup
Ballinamallard vs Ards Rangers
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ballinamallard Compare

Top Goalscorer McEvoy S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Campbell P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ards Rangers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballinamallard 85 / 100
Ards Rangers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballinamallard Ards Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballinamallard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ards Rangers has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ballinamallard stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Ards Rangers lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ballinamallard VS Ards Rangers
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballinamallard

(Home)
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
29 Aug
Ballinamallard
1 : 3
Annagh
22 Aug
Ballinamallard
2 : 1
Dundela
Page 1 of 6

Ards Rangers

(Away)
15 Jul
Ards Rangers
1 : 1
Ballymacash
28 Jun
Ards Rangers
1 : 2
Bangor FC
20 Jul
Ards Rangers
0 : 4
Ards
08 Jan
Ballinamallard
2 : 0
Ards Rangers
17 Aug
Wakehurst
3 : 1
Ards Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Ballyclare 0
Carrick Rangers 2
Cliftonville 5
Islandmagee 0
Coleraine 6
Windmill 0
Portadown 2
Limavady 0
Ballinamallard 2
Ards Rangers 0
Glenavon 0
Crusaders 4
Knockbreda 0
Dungannon 2
Harland & Wolff 1
Annagh 2
Queens University 2
Newington FC 0
Dergview 2
Glentoran 3
Warrenpoint 1
Newry City 2
Ards 2
Dundela 3
Bangor FC 0
Larne 5
Linfield 4
Oxford Sunnyside 0
Ballymena 2
Loughgall 0
Institute 0
Portstewart 1
1/8-finals
Carrick Rangers 0
Cliftonville 1
Coleraine 2
Portadown 0
Ballinamallard 0
Crusaders 1
Dungannon 4
Annagh 1
Queens University 0
Glentoran 4
Newry City 1
Ards 0
Larne 2
Linfield 0
Ballymena 3
Portstewart 0
Quarter-finals
Cliftonville 2
Coleraine 1
Crusaders 4
Dungannon 2
Glentoran 1
Newry City 0
Larne 3
Ballymena 4
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 1
Crusaders 2
Newry City 0
Ballymena 1
Final
Crusaders 2
Ballymena 1