Sport Picks
Ballinamallard vs Armagh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Northern Ireland
NIFL Championship 
AI Match Summary
Ballinamallard host Armagh in the NIFL Championship. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Armagh have shipped 2.97 goals a game lately, while Ballinamallard have conceded 1.35 and scored 1.06. Head-to-head, Ballinamallard have won 4 to Armagh's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 21, 2026, ending 6:0. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.31) point toward Ballinamallard. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ballinamallard have won more games recently than Armagh.
- Win probability leans Ballinamallard's way, sitting at 60%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Ballinamallard have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ballinamallard | Armagh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 1 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 2.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Armagh let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Ballinamallard went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Difficult form: Armagh registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ballinamallard
(Home)Armagh
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Annagh | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 25:14 | 22 |
| 2 | Glenavon | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26:14 | 21 |
| 3 | Newington FC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:20 | 20 |
| 4 | Queens University | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20:8 | 19 |
| 5 | Newry City | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:19 | 18 |
| 6 | Warrenpoint | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 7 | Institute | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:17 | 17 |
| 8 | Ballinamallard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:16 | 17 |
| 9 | Harland & Wolff | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Ards | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 11 | Moyola | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Loughgall | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:21 | 13 |
| 13 | Dundela | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 19:23 | 11 |
| 14 | Strabane Athletic | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:20 | 9 |
| 15 | Rathfriland Rangers | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 11:23 | 9 |
| 16 | Armagh | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9:18 | 5 |
