Sport Picks
Ballinamallard vs Glenavon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Northern Ireland
NIFL Championship 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this NIFL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Glenavon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Ballinamallard haven't matched Glenavon's recent run of results.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 10%
Glenavon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ballinamallard | Glenavon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Glenavon
1:1
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Ballinamallard vs Glenavon
2:2
Jan 7, 2023 Irish Cup
Ballinamallard vs Glenavon
1:2
Mar 17, 2018 NIFL Premiership
Glenavon vs Ballinamallard
0:0
Nov 18, 2017 NIFL Premiership
Ballinamallard vs Glenavon
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ballinamallard 30 / 100
Glenavon 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ballinamallard Glenavon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Glenavon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Glenavon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Ballinamallard went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Ballinamallard found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Ballinamallard VS Glenavon
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Ballinamallard
(Home) 03 Oct
Ballinamallard
1 : 1 Ards
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0 Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3 Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1 Glenavon
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6 Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Ballinamallard
1 : 1 Ards
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1 Glenavon
29 Aug
Ballinamallard
1 : 3 Annagh
22 Aug
Ballinamallard
2 : 1 Dundela
08 Aug
Ballinamallard
0 : 1 Newry City
Page 1 of 3
Glenavon
(Away) 03 Oct
Moyola
0 : 3 Glenavon
25 Sept
Glenavon
4 : 1 Loughgall
19 Sept
Glenavon
1 : 0 Newington FC
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1 Glenavon
05 Sept
Dundela
3 : 2 Glenavon
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Moyola
0 : 3 Glenavon
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1 Glenavon
05 Sept
Dundela
3 : 2 Glenavon
22 Aug
Armagh
2 : 2 Glenavon
11 Aug
Newry City
1 : 4 Glenavon
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Annagh | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 2 | Glenavon | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25:13 | 20 |
| 3 | Newington FC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:20 | 20 |
| 4 | Queens University | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:7 | 19 |
| 5 | Newry City | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:19 | 18 |
| 6 | Institute | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:17 | 16 |
| 7 | Harland & Wolff | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18:16 | 15 |
| 8 | Ards | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 11 | Loughgall | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:19 | 13 |
| 12 | Dundela | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 19:23 | 11 |
| 13 | Moyola | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 14 | Strabane Athletic | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 15 | Rathfriland Rangers | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 11:23 | 9 |
| 16 | Armagh | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9:18 | 5 |
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)
