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Ballinamallard vs Institute

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Lynch P.
67' Event
Lynch P.
87' Event
Lynch P.

AI Match Summary

Institute in this Irish Cup matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Institute.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ballinamallard
44%
Draws
20%
Institute
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Institute lately — more wins on the board than Ballinamallard.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Cup games in Irish Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 12%
Institute Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballinamallard Institute
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 8 16
Draws 10 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Ballinamallard
3:0
Jan 31, 2026 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Institute
0:1
Jan 13, 2026 Irish Cup
Ballinamallard vs Institute
0:3
Dec 6, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Institute
2:2
Sep 16, 2025 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Ballinamallard
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ballinamallard Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Institute Compare

Top Goalscorer Lynch P.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballinamallard 35 / 100
Institute 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballinamallard Institute

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Institute has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Ballinamallard went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ballinamallard scored in 48% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

Ballinamallard VS Institute
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
TBD-
Loughgall-
Wakehurst2
Knockbreda4
Ballinamallard-
TBD-
TBD-
Institute-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundela-
Glenavon-
TBD-
TBD-
Newington FC-
Portadown-
TBD-
TBD-
Annagh-
Dungannon-
TBD-
TBD-
Ards-
Newbuildings1
Moyola2
TBD-
Harland & Wolff-
Comber Rec3
Hanover1
Ballymacash4
Willowbank0
Strabane Athletic2
Rathfriland Rangers1
TBD-
Glentoran-
Armagh-
TBD-
Newry City1
Drumaness2
Lisburn Distillery4
Finaghy FC2
TBD-
Warrenpoint-
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
Larne-
Limavady-
TBD-
Lisburn Rangers5
Dergview4
Linfield-
TBD-
TBD-
Bangor FC-
Carrick Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
Queens University-
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
Crusaders-
1/16-finals
Loughgall2
Knockbreda0
Ballinamallard0
Institute3
Cliftonville3
Dundela0
Glenavon4
Newington FC2
Portadown4
Annagh2
Dungannon3
Ards0
Moyola2
Harland & Wolff4
Comber Rec0
Ballymacash3
Strabane Athletic0
Glentoran4
Armagh1
Drumaness4
Lisburn Distillery3
Warrenpoint4
Ballymena1
Larne2
Limavady4
Lisburn Rangers1
Linfield1
Bangor FC0
Carrick Rangers5
Queens University1
Coleraine4
Crusaders0
1/8-finals
Loughgall2
Institute1
Cliftonville2
Glenavon1
Portadown1
Dungannon2
Harland & Wolff3
Ballymacash0
Glentoran5
Drumaness0
Warrenpoint0
Larne2
Limavady1
Linfield0
Carrick Rangers1
Coleraine4
Quarter-finals
Loughgall0
Cliftonville3
Dungannon3
Harland & Wolff0
Glentoran1
Larne2
Limavady0
Coleraine2
Semi-finals
Cliftonville1
Dungannon2
Larne1
Coleraine2
Final
Dungannon2
Coleraine3