Sport Picks
Ballinamallard vs Tobermore
Northern Ireland
Irish League Cup 2017/2018 
AI Match Summary
Ballinamallard in this Irish League Cup 2017/2018 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ballinamallard
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tobermore have won more games recently than Ballinamallard.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Ballinamallard taking it.
- Tobermore arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ballinamallard, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Ballinamallard here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 68%
Tobermore Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ballinamallard | Tobermore |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 0 |
| Losses | 15 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2017 Irish League Cup
Ballinamallard vs Tobermore
1:0
Feb 4, 2012 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Tobermore
2:1
Dec 10, 2011 Irish Cup
Tobermore vs Ballinamallard
1:3
Aug 20, 2011 NIFL Championship
Tobermore vs Ballinamallard
1:2
Apr 14, 2009 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Tobermore
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ballinamallard 95 / 100
Tobermore 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ballinamallard Tobermore
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ballinamallard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Tobermore conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Ballinamallard has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Tobermore lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ballinamallard VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ballinamallard
(Home) 26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0 Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3 Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1 Glenavon
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6 Ballinamallard
29 Aug
Ballinamallard
1 : 3 Annagh
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1 Glenavon
29 Aug
Ballinamallard
1 : 3 Annagh
22 Aug
Ballinamallard
2 : 1 Dundela
08 Aug
Ballinamallard
0 : 1 Newry City
31 Jul
Ballinamallard
1 : 2 Bangor FC
Page 1 of 4
Tobermore
(Away) 13 Aug
Tobermore
3 : 4 Queens University
25 Nov
Willowbank
3 : 2 Tobermore
19 Aug
Limavady
6 : 1 Tobermore
22 Jul
Coleraine
2 : 1 Tobermore
15 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 5 Tobermore
Page 1 of 6
25 Nov
Willowbank
3 : 2 Tobermore
19 Aug
Limavady
6 : 1 Tobermore
22 Jul
Coleraine
2 : 1 Tobermore
15 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 5 Tobermore
31 Jul
Newry City
2 : 1 Tobermore
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Harland & Wolff 3
Armagh 0
TBD -
Portadown -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Annagh 0
Dergview 4
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
PSNI -
TBD -
Portstewart 2
Limavady 3
Banbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Lurgan Celtic 1
Sport & Leisure 0
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Tobermore -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Ballymena 3
Knockbreda 0
Harland & Wolff 2
Portadown 3
Glenavon 5
Donegal 1
Queens University 0
Ards 5
Carrick Rangers 3
Dergview 0
Loughgall 0
Glentoran 1
PSNI 1
Limavady 0
Banbridge 0
Cliftonville 4
Dungannon 4
Newry City 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Warrenpoint 4
Institute 2
Moyola 1
Newington FC 0
Ballyclare 2
Linfield 6
Lisburn Distillery 0
Tobermore 0
Ballinamallard 1
Coleraine 4
Larne 1
Dundela 1
Crusaders 2
1/8-finals
Ballymena 2
Portadown 0
Glenavon 0
Ards 4
Carrick Rangers 1
Glentoran 0
PSNI 0
Cliftonville 7
Dungannon 1
Warrenpoint 0
Institute 0
Ballyclare 1
Linfield 3
Ballinamallard 0
Coleraine 2
Crusaders 3
Quarter-finals
Ballymena 3
Ards 2
Carrick Rangers 0
Cliftonville 1
Dungannon 2
Ballyclare 1
Linfield 0
Crusaders 2
Semi-finals
Ballymena 3
Cliftonville 1
Dungannon 2
Crusaders 1
Final
Ballymena 1
Dungannon 3
