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Ballinamallard vs Warrenpoint

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship 2025/2026 game between Ballinamallard and Warrenpoint finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Warrenpoint.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Ballinamallard
20%
Draws
30%
Warrenpoint
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ballinamallard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Warrenpoint come out ahead of Ballinamallard on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Ballinamallard taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Warrenpoint have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 20%
Warrenpoint Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballinamallard Warrenpoint
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 10 3
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.09 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Warrenpoint
0:1
Feb 24, 2026 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Ballinamallard
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Warrenpoint
0:4
Oct 4, 2025 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Ballinamallard
4:1
Feb 25, 2023 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Ballinamallard
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballinamallard 49 / 100
Warrenpoint 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballinamallard Warrenpoint

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Warrenpoint conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Ballinamallard went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Warrenpoint has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ballinamallard VS Warrenpoint
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballinamallard

(Home)
11 Aug
Institute
1 : 2
Ballinamallard
08 Aug
Ballinamallard
0 : 1
Newry City
31 Jul
Ballinamallard
1 : 2
Bangor FC
18 Jul
Crusaders
0 : 0
Ballinamallard
11 Jul
Limavady
0 : 0
Ballinamallard
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Warrenpoint

(Away)
11 Aug
Warrenpoint
2 : 0
Armagh
08 Aug
Harland & Wolff
3 : 0
Warrenpoint
21 Jul
Cliftonville
2 : 1
Warrenpoint
11 Jul
Crusaders
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
04 Jul
Limavady
4 : 1
Warrenpoint
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