Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ballyclare vs Coagh Utd

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
McIlveen S.
(Penalty)
50' Event
Finnegan P.
(Penalty)
63' Event
McKeown O.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ballyclare
15%
Draws
85%
Coagh Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coagh Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Coagh Utd come out ahead of Ballyclare on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Coagh Utd's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Coagh Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Coagh Utd, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Ballyclare Clean Sheet 11%
Coagh Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballyclare Coagh Utd
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.35 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.23 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2025 Irish League Cup
Ballyclare vs Coagh Utd
1:2
Apr 15, 2014 NIFL Championship
Coagh Utd vs Ballyclare
0:2
Apr 1, 2014 NIFL Championship
Ballyclare vs Coagh Utd
1:2
Apr 17, 2010 NIFL Championship
Ballyclare vs Coagh Utd
1:1
Dec 19, 2009 NIFL Championship
Coagh Utd vs Ballyclare
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ballyclare Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Coagh Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer McKeown O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballyclare 10 / 100
Coagh Utd 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballyclare Coagh Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coagh Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coagh Utd has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Ballyclare found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Coagh Utd lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ballyclare VS Coagh Utd
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballyclare

(Home)
01 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 8
Carrick Rangers
28 Jul
Queens University
4 : 1
Ballyclare
18 Jul
Ballyclare
1 : 4
Loughgall
11 Jul
Ballyclare
0 : 2
Ballymena
04 Jul
Ballyclare
0 : 3
Portadown
Page 1 of 7

Coagh Utd

(Away)
07 Oct
Cliftonville
4 : 1
Coagh Utd
12 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 2
Coagh Utd
13 Aug
Rathfriland Rangers
2 : 1
Coagh Utd
27 Jul
Coagh Utd
1 : 1
Ballymena
03 Oct
Portadown
4 : 1
Coagh Utd
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Ballymacash 5
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Ballyclare 1
Coagh Utd 2
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Strabane Athletic -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Moyola 5
Portstewart 3
TBD -
Annagh -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Newry City 3
Knockbreda 0
TBD -
Portadown -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Dergview 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Larne -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery 3
Banbridge 2
1/16-finals
Institute 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 3
Ballymacash 1
Cliftonville 4
Coagh Utd 1
Loughgall 2
Strabane Athletic 3
Ards 1
Dungannon 2
Moyola 3
Annagh 0
Dollingstown 0
Coleraine 8
Armagh 3
Carrick Rangers 2
Newry City 1
Portadown 0
Warrenpoint 0
Glenavon 2
Harland & Wolff 6
Dundela 0
Linfield 2
Queens University 0
Ballymena 1
Ballinamallard 0
Newington FC 3
Limavady 1
Dergview 3
Larne 7
Bangor FC 4
Lisburn Distillery 1
1/8-finals
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 1
Cliftonville 5
Strabane Athletic 2
Dungannon 0
Moyola 1
Coleraine 7
Armagh 1
Newry City 1
Glenavon 0
Harland & Wolff 3
Linfield 6
Ballymena 3
Newington FC 0
Larne 2
Bangor FC 1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran 2
Cliftonville 1
Moyola 0
Coleraine 2
Newry City 2
Linfield 3
Ballymena 2
Larne 0
Semi-finals
Glentoran 2
Coleraine 1
Linfield 1
Ballymena 0
Final
Glentoran 0
Linfield 1