Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ballyclare vs Strabane Athletic

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
McGreevy L.
23' Event
Donnelly C.
43' Event
McConville O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-2, with Ballyclare advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ballyclare
15%
Draws
85%
Strabane Athletic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Strabane Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Strabane Athletic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Strabane Athletic's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Strabane Athletic arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ballyclare, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ballyclare Clean Sheet 10%
Strabane Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballyclare Strabane Athletic
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 7 12
Draws 5 2
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.47 2.04
Goals Conceded 2.3 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2024 Irish Cup
Ballyclare vs Strabane Athletic
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ballyclare Compare

Top Goalscorer McGreevy L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Donnelly C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Strabane Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Doherty A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jamie H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballyclare 10 / 100
Strabane Athletic 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballyclare Strabane Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Strabane Athletic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Ballyclare's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Strabane Athletic let in goals in 77% of their last 26 matches.

Strabane Athletic's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ballyclare VS Strabane Athletic
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballyclare

(Home)
01 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 8
Carrick Rangers
28 Jul
Queens University
4 : 1
Ballyclare
18 Jul
Ballyclare
1 : 4
Loughgall
11 Jul
Ballyclare
0 : 2
Ballymena
04 Jul
Ballyclare
0 : 3
Portadown
Page 1 of 6

Strabane Athletic

(Away)
15 Aug
Glenavon
4 : 1
Strabane Athletic
11 Aug
Moyola
1 : 3
Strabane Athletic
07 Aug
Strabane Athletic
0 : 1
Institute
01 Aug
Limavady
1 : 0
Strabane Athletic
18 Jul
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2
Dungannon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Valley Rangers 0
Oxford Sunnyside 3
Ballymacash 3
Drumaness 1
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
Fivemiletown 0
Strabane Athletic 5
Dungannon -
TBD -
Willowbank 3
Tobermore 2
Crumlin Star 2
Limavady 0
TBD -
Institute -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Linfield -
TBD -
Warrenpoint 6
Lisburn Rangers 1
Queens University 3
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
Ballymena -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Loughgall -
TBD -
Rosemount Rec 3
Ballymoney 1
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
1/16-finals
Oxford Sunnyside 2
Ballymacash 3
Glentoran 1
Annagh 0
Ballyclare 5
Strabane Athletic 2
Dungannon 5
Willowbank 0
Crumlin Star 0
Institute 2
Crusaders 1
Ards 2
Linfield 4
Warrenpoint 2
Queens University 0
Ballymena 4
Carrick Rangers 1
Portadown 2
Bangor FC 3
Dergview 1
Coleraine 0
Cliftonville 3
Loughgall 3
Rosemount Rec 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Larne 4
Knockbreda 0
Glenavon 4
Newington FC 2
Dundela 1
Newry City 3
Ballinamallard 2
1/8-finals
Ballymacash 1
Glentoran 6
Ballyclare 3
Dungannon 2
Institute 1
Ards 0
Linfield 2
Ballymena 0
Portadown 2
Bangor FC 1
Cliftonville 4
Loughgall 0
Larne 5
Glenavon 0
Newington FC 2
Newry City 1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran 2
Ballyclare 0
Institute 1
Linfield 3
Portadown 0
Cliftonville 2
Larne 4
Newington FC 1
Semi-finals
Glentoran 1
Linfield 3
Cliftonville 2
Larne 0
Final
Linfield 1
Cliftonville 3