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Ballymacash vs Drumaness

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Ballymacash advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Ballymacash
15%
Draws
73%
Drumaness
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Drumaness

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Drumaness have managed 1.59 goals a game lately — Ballymacash are scoring more at 1.69.
  • Win probability leans Drumaness's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Ballymacash, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Ballymacash Clean Sheet 14%
Drumaness Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballymacash Drumaness
Matches Played 32 22
Wins 10 10
Draws 3 0
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.69 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2023 Irish Cup
Ballymacash vs Drumaness
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballymacash 27 / 100
Drumaness 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballymacash Drumaness

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Drumaness Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballymacash's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Drumaness conceded in 86% of 21 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Drumaness has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ballymacash VS Drumaness
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballymacash

(Home)
25 Jul
Annagh
5 : 2
Ballymacash
18 Jul
Ballymacash
2 : 3
Greystones United
15 Jul
Ards Rangers
1 : 1
Ballymacash
11 Jul
Ballymacash
1 : 2
Newington FC
11 Jul
Ballymacash
0 : 1
Dunmurry Rec
Page 1 of 7

Drumaness

(Away)
17 Feb
Glentoran
5 : 0
Drumaness
10 Jan
Armagh
1 : 4
Drumaness
21 Nov
Newry City
1 : 2
Drumaness
25 Nov
Ballymacash
3 : 1
Drumaness
17 Aug
Newtowne FC
:
Drumaness
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Valley Rangers 0
Oxford Sunnyside 3
Ballymacash 3
Drumaness 1
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
Fivemiletown 0
Strabane Athletic 5
Dungannon -
TBD -
Willowbank 3
Tobermore 2
Crumlin Star 2
Limavady 0
TBD -
Institute -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Linfield -
TBD -
Warrenpoint 6
Lisburn Rangers 1
Queens University 3
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
Ballymena -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Loughgall -
TBD -
Rosemount Rec 3
Ballymoney 1
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
1/16-finals
Oxford Sunnyside 2
Ballymacash 3
Glentoran 1
Annagh 0
Ballyclare 5
Strabane Athletic 2
Dungannon 5
Willowbank 0
Crumlin Star 0
Institute 2
Crusaders 1
Ards 2
Linfield 4
Warrenpoint 2
Queens University 0
Ballymena 4
Carrick Rangers 1
Portadown 2
Bangor FC 3
Dergview 1
Coleraine 0
Cliftonville 3
Loughgall 3
Rosemount Rec 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Larne 4
Knockbreda 0
Glenavon 4
Newington FC 2
Dundela 1
Newry City 3
Ballinamallard 2
1/8-finals
Ballymacash 1
Glentoran 6
Ballyclare 3
Dungannon 2
Institute 1
Ards 0
Linfield 2
Ballymena 0
Portadown 2
Bangor FC 1
Cliftonville 4
Loughgall 0
Larne 5
Glenavon 0
Newington FC 2
Newry City 1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran 2
Ballyclare 0
Institute 1
Linfield 3
Portadown 0
Cliftonville 2
Larne 4
Newington FC 1
Semi-finals
Glentoran 1
Linfield 3
Cliftonville 2
Larne 0
Final
Linfield 1
Cliftonville 3