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Ballymacash vs Institute Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Kennedy M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Institute advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Ballymacash
15%
Draws
76%
Institute
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Institute

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Institute come out ahead of Ballymacash on wins alone.
  • Institute are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Institute arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Institute, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ballymacash Clean Sheet 10%
Institute Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballymacash Institute
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 3 3
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.73 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2024 Irish League Cup
Ballymacash vs Institute
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ballymacash Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Institute Compare

Top Goalscorer Kennedy M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.89
Avg xA / game 1.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballymacash 14 / 100
Institute 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballymacash Institute

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Institute Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ballymacash scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Institute conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ballymacash stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ballymacash VS Institute
1.2 Goals Scored 1.75
2.4 Goals Conceded 1.13
80% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 75%
40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballymacash

(Home)
25 Jul
Annagh
5 : 2
Ballymacash
18 Jul
Ballymacash
2 : 3
Greystones United
15 Jul
Ards Rangers
1 : 1
Ballymacash
11 Jul
Ballymacash
1 : 2
Newington FC
11 Jul
Ballymacash
0 : 1
Dunmurry Rec
Page 1 of 6

Institute

(Away)
26 Sept
Annagh
5 : 0
Institute
19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
12 Sept
Armagh
3 : 5
Institute
05 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Institute
29 Aug
Institute
1 : 3
Newry City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Moyola 3
Oxford Sunnyside 1
TBD -
Annagh -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Tobermore 3
Queens University 4
Ballymacash 3
Banbridge 0
TBD -
Institute -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Warrenpoint 2
Lisburn Distillery 0
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Rathfriland Rangers 2
Coagh Utd 1
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Glentoran -
TBD -
Dergview 2
Knockbreda 1
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
1/16-finals
Moyola 2
Annagh 4
Carrick Rangers 0
Queens University 1
Ballymacash 0
Institute 1
Harland & Wolff 1
Larne 2
Loughgall 2
Armagh 3
Newington FC 2
Glenavon 3
Bangor FC 4
Warrenpoint 0
Limavady 0
Cliftonville 2
Rathfriland Rangers 3
Ballymena 4
Portadown 0
Ards 1
Dundela 0
Linfield 3
Glentoran 2
Dergview 0
Ballyclare 2
Crusaders 3
Ballinamallard 0
Coleraine 4
Dungannon 5
Portstewart 0
Dollingstown 5
Newry City 1
1/8-finals
Annagh 2
Queens University 0
Institute 0
Larne 2
Armagh 1
Glenavon 0
Bangor FC 0
Cliftonville 1
Ballymena 1
Ards 0
Linfield 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 2
Coleraine 1
Dungannon 3
Dollingstown 1
Quarter-finals
Annagh 0
Larne 5
Armagh 0
Cliftonville 3
Ballymena 0
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 4
Dungannon 2
Semi-finals
Larne 0
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 4
Crusaders 2
Final
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 0