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Ballymena vs Chimney

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2011/2012
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Match Events

3' Event
20' Event
56' Event

AI Match Summary

Ballymena in this Irish League Cup 2011/2012 tie, finishing 7-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ballymena
20%
Draws
44%
Chimney
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chimney

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Chimney haven't matched Ballymena's recent run of results.
  • Ballymena are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ballymena have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ballymena, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 19%
Chimney Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballymena Chimney
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 13 3
Draws 9 1
Losses 11 27
Goals Scored 2 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.21 3.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2011 Irish League Cup
Ballymena vs Chimney
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballymena 85 / 100
Chimney 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballymena Chimney

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballymena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballymena found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Chimney conceded in 94% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Solid form: Ballymena remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ballymena VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballymena

(Home)
21 Aug
Ballymena
0 : 2
Glentoran
15 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 1
Ballymena
08 Aug
Linfield
0 : 3
Ballymena
01 Aug
Glenavon
1 : 1
Ballymena
01 Aug
Annagh
2 : 2
Ballymena
Page 1 of 7

Chimney

(Away)
02 Nov
Chimney
0 : 3
Valley Rangers
27 Sept
Glebe
1 : 2
Chimney
17 Aug
Chimney
5 : 1
Laurelvale
18 Aug
Grove
5 : 2
Chimney
19 Aug
Hanover
8 : 2
Chimney
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Chimney -
Annagh 4
Moyola 0
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Harland & Wolff 3
Lurgan Celtic 1
TBD -
Dergview -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Armagh 0
Sport & Leisure 2
Ballinamallard 3
Institute 0
TBD -
Limavady -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Loughgall 3
Glebe 2
TBD -
Dungannon -
Linfield -
TBD -
Ballymoney 0
Ballyclare 3
Coagh Utd 4
Portstewart 1
TBD -
Glenavon -
Glentoran -
TBD -
Queens University 4
Killymoon 5
Warrenpoint 1
Banbridge 0
TBD -
Portadown -
Newry City -
TBD -
Dundela 3
Larne 4
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
1/16-finals
Ballymena 7
Chimney 0
Annagh 2
Bangor FC 3
Donegal 4
Wakehurst 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Dergview 2
Carrick Rangers 5
Sport & Leisure 1
Ballinamallard 0
Limavady 2
Lisburn Distillery 2
Tobermore 0
PSNI 1
Crusaders 6
Cliftonville 3
Ards 1
Loughgall 0
Dungannon 4
Linfield 6
Ballyclare 4
Coagh Utd 0
Glenavon 10
Glentoran 7
Killymoon 0
Warrenpoint 0
Portadown 3
Newry City 4
Larne 2
Knockbreda 1
Coleraine 3
1/8-finals
Ballymena 2
Bangor FC 0
Donegal 0
Dergview 1
Carrick Rangers 3
Limavady 1
Lisburn Distillery 2
Crusaders 4
Cliftonville 5
Dungannon 0
Linfield 0
Glenavon 1
Glentoran 2
Portadown 1
Newry City 0
Coleraine 3
Quarter-finals
Ballymena 6
Dergview 2
Carrick Rangers 0
Crusaders 7
Cliftonville 2
Glenavon 1
Glentoran 1
Coleraine 2
Semi-finals
Ballymena 0
Crusaders 1
Cliftonville 1
Coleraine 2
Final
Crusaders 1
Coleraine 0