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Ballymena vs Crusaders

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Ballymena Showgrounds, Ballymena
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ballymena host Crusaders in the NIFL Premiership. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Ballymena at 1.83 goals for, 1.31 against; Crusaders at 1.48 for, 1.66 against. Head-to-head, Ballymena have won 1 to Crusaders's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.63) back Crusaders to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ballymena
30%
Draws
47%
Crusaders
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Crusaders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Ballymena haven't matched Crusaders's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 14%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballymena Crusaders
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Ballymena
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Ballymena
3:2
Feb 17, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Crusaders
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Crusaders
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Ballymena
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballymena 31 / 100
Crusaders 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballymena Crusaders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballymena found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Crusaders conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ballymena stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ballymena VS Crusaders
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballymena

(Home)
19 Sept
Dungannon
1 : 1
Ballymena
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
05 Sept
Bangor FC
2 : 2
Ballymena
21 Aug
Ballymena
0 : 2
Glentoran
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Crusaders

(Away)
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Crusaders
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0
Dungannon
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
29 Aug
Glentoran
1 : 2
Crusaders
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 8 7 1 0 18:5 22
2 Linfield 8 6 1 1 9:5 19
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Dungannon 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
5 Cliftonville 8 4 0 4 12:10 12
6 Crusaders 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
7 Glentoran 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Carrick Rangers 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
9 Ballymena 7 1 3 3 10:11 6
10 Limavady 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
11 Bangor FC 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
12 Portadown 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)