Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Edogun S.
46'
46'
Sub
Magee B. In: Millar L.
Out: Magee B.
46'
46'
Sub
Austin C. In: Nolan R.
Out: Austin C.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Ballymena advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ballymena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Larne carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Ballymena's way, sitting at 42%.
- Larne arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Larne, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Larne have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 15%
Larne Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ballymena | Larne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 20 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Larne
0:2
Feb 3, 2026 Irish Cup
Ballymena vs Larne
1:2
Dec 2, 2025 Irish League Cup
Ballymena vs Larne
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Larne
0:2
Aug 29, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Ballymena
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ballymena Compare
Top Goalscorer Edogun S.
1 Goals Assists Leader O'Conchubhair D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Larne Compare
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ballymena 41 / 100
Larne 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ballymena Larne
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ballymena's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Ballymena went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Larne conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Ballymena VS Larne
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ballymena
(Home) 18 Jul
Dundela
2 : 3 Ballymena
18 Jul
Queens University
1 : 1 Ballymena
11 Jul
Ballyclare
0 : 2 Ballymena
10 Jul
Moyola
1 : 3 Ballymena
04 Jul
Ballymena
1 : 2 Loughgall
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Ballymena
1 : 2 Loughgall
04 Jul
Ballymena
6 : 0 Strabane Athletic
18 Apr
Ballymena
1 : 2 Portadown
15 Apr
Ballymena
0 : 0 Bangor FC
07 Apr
Ballymena
1 : 1 Glenavon
Page 1 of 3
Larne
(Away) 14 Jul
Larne
2 : 1 Tre Fiori
07 Jul
Tre Fiori
0 : 1 Larne
03 Jul
Larne
1 : 0 Coleraine
29 Jun
Harland & Wolff
1 : 2 Larne
23 Jun
Larne
1 : 0 Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 6
07 Jul
Tre Fiori
0 : 1 Larne
29 Jun
Harland & Wolff
1 : 2 Larne
20 Jun
Stranraer
0 : 0 Larne
17 Apr
Glentoran
0 : 0 Larne
11 Apr
Linfield
0 : 2 Larne
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Institute-
TBD-
TBD-
Glentoran-
Crusaders-
TBD-
Oxford Sunnyside1
Ballymacash5
Cliftonville-
TBD-
Ballyclare1
Coagh Utd2
Loughgall-
TBD-
TBD-
Strabane Athletic-
Ards-
TBD-
TBD-
Dungannon-
Moyola5
Portstewart3
TBD-
Annagh-
Dollingstown-
TBD-
TBD-
Coleraine-
Armagh-
TBD-
TBD-
Carrick Rangers-
Newry City3
Knockbreda0
TBD-
Portadown-
Warrenpoint-
TBD-
TBD-
Glenavon-
Harland & Wolff-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundela-
Linfield-
TBD-
TBD-
Queens University-
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballinamallard-
Newington FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Limavady-
Dergview3
Rathfriland Rangers1
TBD-
Larne-
Bangor FC-
TBD-
Lisburn Distillery3
Banbridge2
1/16-finals
Institute0
Glentoran1
Crusaders3
Ballymacash1
Cliftonville4
Coagh Utd1
Loughgall2
Strabane Athletic3
Ards1
Dungannon2
Moyola3
Annagh0
Dollingstown0
Coleraine8
Armagh3
Carrick Rangers2
Newry City1
Portadown0
Warrenpoint0
Glenavon2
Harland & Wolff6
Dundela0
Linfield2
Queens University0
Ballymena1
Ballinamallard0
Newington FC3
Limavady1
Dergview3
Larne7
Bangor FC4
Lisburn Distillery1
1/8-finals
Glentoran2
Crusaders1
Cliftonville5
Strabane Athletic2
Dungannon0
Moyola1
Coleraine7
Armagh1
Newry City1
Glenavon0
Harland & Wolff3
Linfield6
Ballymena3
Newington FC0
Larne2
Bangor FC1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran2
Cliftonville1
Moyola0
Coleraine2
Newry City2
Linfield3
Ballymena2
Larne0
Semi-finals
Glentoran2
Coleraine1
Linfield1
Ballymena0
Final
Glentoran0
Linfield1