Sport Picks
Ballymena vs Newington FC
Northern Ireland
Irish League Cup Ballymena Showgrounds, Ballymena 
Match Events
48'
48'
Lafferty D.
71'
71'
Edogun S.
77'
77'
McCurry C.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-0, with Ballymena advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ballymena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Newington FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Ballymena's way, sitting at 90%.
- Newington FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ballymena, who have won 5 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Ballymena have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 19%
Newington FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ballymena | Newington FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 2.14 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 4, 2025 Irish League Cup
Ballymena vs Newington FC
3:0
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Ballymena vs Newington FC
4:2
Feb 4, 2023 Irish Cup
Ballymena vs Newington FC
4:1
Aug 27, 2019 Irish League Cup
Ballymena vs Newington FC
3:0
Aug 30, 2016 Irish League Cup
Ballymena vs Newington FC
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ballymena Compare
Top Goalscorer Lafferty D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Edogun S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Newington FC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ballymena 85 / 100
Newington FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ballymena Newington FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ballymena scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Ballymena remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Newington FC conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Ballymena VS Newington FC
2.25 Goals Scored 1.29
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.14
88% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Ballymena
(Home) 25 Jul
Portstewart
1 : 5 Ballymena
24 Jul
Carrick Rangers
0 : 3 Ballymena
18 Jul
Dundela
2 : 3 Ballymena
18 Jul
Queens University
1 : 1 Ballymena
11 Jul
Ballyclare
0 : 2 Ballymena
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Ballymena
1 : 2 Loughgall
04 Jul
Ballymena
6 : 0 Strabane Athletic
18 Apr
Ballymena
1 : 2 Portadown
15 Apr
Ballymena
0 : 0 Bangor FC
07 Apr
Ballymena
1 : 1 Glenavon
Page 1 of 3
Newington FC
(Away) 28 Jul
Crusaders
1 : 1 Newington FC
18 Jul
Cliftonville
1 : 0 Newington FC
11 Jul
Ballymacash
1 : 2 Newington FC
04 Jul
Bangor FC
2 : 1 Newington FC
24 Apr
Newington FC
2 : 1 Loughgall
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Crusaders
1 : 1 Newington FC
18 Jul
Cliftonville
1 : 0 Newington FC
11 Jul
Ballymacash
1 : 2 Newington FC
04 Jul
Bangor FC
2 : 1 Newington FC
04 Apr
Queens University
0 : 2 Newington FC
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Institute-
TBD-
TBD-
Glentoran-
Crusaders-
TBD-
Oxford Sunnyside1
Ballymacash5
Cliftonville-
TBD-
Ballyclare1
Coagh Utd2
Loughgall-
TBD-
TBD-
Strabane Athletic-
Ards-
TBD-
TBD-
Dungannon-
Moyola5
Portstewart3
TBD-
Annagh-
Dollingstown-
TBD-
TBD-
Coleraine-
Armagh-
TBD-
TBD-
Carrick Rangers-
Newry City3
Knockbreda0
TBD-
Portadown-
Warrenpoint-
TBD-
TBD-
Glenavon-
Harland & Wolff-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundela-
Linfield-
TBD-
TBD-
Queens University-
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballinamallard-
Newington FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Limavady-
Dergview3
Rathfriland Rangers1
TBD-
Larne-
Bangor FC-
TBD-
Lisburn Distillery3
Banbridge2
1/16-finals
Institute0
Glentoran1
Crusaders3
Ballymacash1
Cliftonville4
Coagh Utd1
Loughgall2
Strabane Athletic3
Ards1
Dungannon2
Moyola3
Annagh0
Dollingstown0
Coleraine8
Armagh3
Carrick Rangers2
Newry City1
Portadown0
Warrenpoint0
Glenavon2
Harland & Wolff6
Dundela0
Linfield2
Queens University0
Ballymena1
Ballinamallard0
Newington FC3
Limavady1
Dergview3
Larne7
Bangor FC4
Lisburn Distillery1
1/8-finals
Glentoran2
Crusaders1
Cliftonville5
Strabane Athletic2
Dungannon0
Moyola1
Coleraine7
Armagh1
Newry City1
Glenavon0
Harland & Wolff3
Linfield6
Ballymena3
Newington FC0
Larne2
Bangor FC1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran2
Cliftonville1
Moyola0
Coleraine2
Newry City2
Linfield3
Ballymena2
Larne0
Semi-finals
Glentoran2
Coleraine1
Linfield1
Ballymena0
Final
Glentoran0
Linfield1
