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Ballynahinch United vs Valley Rangers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2015/2016
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-4, with Valley Rangers advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ballynahinch United
15%
Draws
57%
Valley Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valley Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valley Rangers come out ahead of Ballynahinch United on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ballynahinch United taking it.
  • Valley Rangers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Valley Rangers, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ballynahinch United Clean Sheet 10%
Valley Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballynahinch United Valley Rangers
Matches Played 12 15
Wins 3 9
Draws 0 0
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.25 2.47
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2015 Irish Cup
Ballynahinch United vs Valley Rangers
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballynahinch United 34 / 100
Valley Rangers 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballynahinch United Valley Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Ballynahinch United scored in 70% of their last 10 games.

Valley Rangers has conceded goals in 73% of their last 15 outings.

Valley Rangers's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ballynahinch United VS Valley Rangers
1.5 Goals Scored 3.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballynahinch United

(Home)
17 Aug
Strabane Athletic
:
Ballynahinch United
29 Sept
Seagoe
4 : 3
Ballynahinch United
18 Aug
Ballynahinch United
3 : 2
Groomsport
19 Aug
Ballynahinch United
:
Rosario Youth
01 Oct
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys
2 : 1
Ballynahinch United
Page 1 of 3

Valley Rangers

(Away)
25 Nov
Valley Rangers
0 : 3
Oxford Sunnyside
30 Nov
Valley Rangers
1 : 5
Hanover
02 Nov
Chimney
0 : 3
Valley Rangers
28 Sept
Richhill
0 : 3
Valley Rangers
28 Sept
Newington FC
3 : 1
Valley Rangers
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portstewart -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Lisburn Rangers 3
Dromore Amateurs 0
Bloomfield 1
Desertmartin 4
Ballywalter Recreation 4
Iveagh Utd 2
Foundry 0
Tandragee 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Dergview -
Newtowne FC 5
Dungiven 1
TBD -
Groomsport -
Newcastle 3
Ballynahinch Olympic 2
Colin Valley 1
Dromara 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Immaculata 2
Bangor Old Boys 1
Laurelvale 1
Dunmurry Y.M. 8
Rathcoole 3
Ballymacash 2
Craigavon City 3
Lower Maze 4
TBD -
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Dundela -
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Cliftonville -
Portadown -
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Glebe -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Ballinamallard -
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Coleraine -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Ardglass 2
Saintfield 1
Bryansburn 2
Killyleagh Youth 3
Malachians 1
Grove 0
Windmill 0
Comber Rec 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Wellington Rec 1
Lurgan Town Boys 0
Oxford Sunnyside 2
Rosario Youth 7
Rathfern Rangers 4
Richhill 2
Ballynahinch United 2
Valley Rangers 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Ards -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Glentoran -
PSNI -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Newington FC -
Queens University -
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Tobermore -
Larne -
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Limavady -
Trojans 2
Islandmagee 1
Orangefield Old Boys' 1
Derriaghy 4
Seapatrick 1
Killymoon 0
Portaferry Rovers 0
Banbridge Rangers 3
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Loughgall -
Carrick Rangers -
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Crumlin United 3
Nortel 2
TBD -
Seagoe -
Moneyslane FC 2
Barn 1
Chimney 3
Downshire Y.M. 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Oxford Stars -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne Technical Old Boys -
Shankill 4
Donard 2
Markethill 1
St. Patricks Young 2
St. Marys 3
Fivemiletown 2
TBD -
Downpatrick -
Strabane Athletic 11
Kilmore Rec 0
East Belfast 1
Ards Rangers 2
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundonald 3
Broomhill 2
Drumaness 1
Dunloy 4
Newry City 5
Ardstraw 1
Shorts 0
Crumlin Star 3
Dungannon -
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Warrenpoint -
Rathfriland Rangers -
TBD -
Newbuildings 2
Crewe 3
Brantwood 2
Magherafelt 1
Ballynure Old Boys 1
Sirocco 2
Dunmurry Rec -
TBD -
Ballymoney 1
Hanover 5
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3
Mossley FC 1
U. U. Jordanstown 1
Abbey Villa 4
TBD -
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Crusaders -
1/128-finals
Linfield -
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Ballymena -
Portstewart -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Lisburn Rangers 2
Desertmartin 1
Ballywalter Recreation 0
Tandragee 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Newtowne FC 4
Groomsport 1
Newcastle 1
Dromara 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Immaculata 10
Dunmurry Y.M. 0
Rathcoole 1
Lower Maze 2
TBD -
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TBD -
Dundela -
TBD -
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Cliftonville -
Portadown -
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TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
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TBD -
Wakehurst -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Ardglass 3
Killyleagh Youth 1
Malachians 0
Comber Rec 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 2
Rosario Youth 1
Rathfern Rangers 1
Valley Rangers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Trojans 6
Derriaghy 1
Seapatrick 0
Banbridge Rangers 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crumlin United 9
Seagoe 1
Moneyslane FC 2
Downshire Y.M. 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Oxford Stars 3
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Shankill 1
St. Patricks Young 4
St. Marys 3
Downpatrick 1
Strabane Athletic 1
Ards Rangers 4
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundonald 10
Dunloy 2
Newry City 1
Crumlin Star 2
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Crewe 0
Brantwood 2
Sirocco 3
Dunmurry Rec 5
Hanover 3
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1
Abbey Villa 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/64-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portstewart -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Lisburn Rangers 3
Tandragee 0
TBD -
Armagh -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Newtowne FC 3
Dromara 2
TBD -
Institute -
Immaculata 4
Lower Maze 2
TBD -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Ardglass 4
Comber Rec 3
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 2
Valley Rangers 0
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Trojans 5
Banbridge Rangers 1
TBD -
Loughgall -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crumlin United 3
Downshire Y.M. 2
TBD -
Banbridge -
Oxford Stars 1
St. Patricks Young 0
St. Marys 1
Ards Rangers 4
Ballyclare -
TBD -
Dundonald 0
Crumlin Star 5
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Sirocco 2
Dunmurry Rec 1
Abbey Villa 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/32-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portstewart 3
Moyola 1
Lisburn Rangers 0
Armagh 3
Sport & Leisure 6
Dergview 1
Newtowne FC 1
Institute 2
Immaculata 2
Dundela 0
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Portadown -
TBD -
Glebe 1
Wakehurst 2
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda 3
Lisburn Distillery 2
Dollingstown 1
Annagh 2
Bangor FC 5
Coagh Utd 0
Ardglass 0
Lurgan Celtic 4
Glenavon -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 2
Harland & Wolff 3
Ards 7
Donegal 0
TBD -
Glentoran -
PSNI 2
Newington FC 1
Queens University 1
Tobermore 2
Larne 2
Limavady 0
Trojans 1
Loughgall 2
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Crumlin United 3
Banbridge 4
Oxford Stars 3
Ards Rangers 2
Ballyclare 0
Crumlin Star 1
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Abbey Villa 0
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Linfield 2
Ballymena 1
Portstewart 2
Armagh 3
Sport & Leisure 3
Institute 2
Immaculata 0
Cliftonville 2
Portadown 6
Wakehurst 1
Ballinamallard 2
Coleraine 3
Knockbreda 5
Annagh 1
Bangor FC 1
Lurgan Celtic 2
Glenavon 4
Harland & Wolff 1
Ards 1
Glentoran 4
PSNI 2
Tobermore 0
Larne 2
Loughgall 5
Carrick Rangers 2
Banbridge 0
Oxford Stars 2
Crumlin Star 3
Dungannon 4
Warrenpoint 3
Rathfriland Rangers 0
Crusaders 3
1/8-finals
Linfield 7
Armagh 0
Sport & Leisure 0
Cliftonville 4
Portadown 3
Coleraine 1
Knockbreda 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Glenavon 4
Glentoran 1
PSNI 0
Loughgall 2
Carrick Rangers 1
Crumlin Star 0
Dungannon 1
Crusaders 3
Quarter-finals
Linfield 3
Cliftonville 0
Portadown 2
Lurgan Celtic 3
Glenavon 2
Loughgall 1
Carrick Rangers 0
Crusaders 3
Semi-finals
Linfield 3
Lurgan Celtic 0
Glenavon 4
Crusaders 3
Final
Linfield 0
Glenavon 2