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Balma vs Luzenac

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CFA - Group C 2008/2009
Balma Logo

Balma

1 - 4
FT
Luzenac Logo

Luzenac

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group C 2008/2009 game between Balma and Luzenac finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luzenac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Balma
25%
Draws
35%
Luzenac
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Balma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Luzenac haven't matched Balma's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular CFA - Group C 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Balma Clean Sheet 16%
Luzenac Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balma Luzenac
Matches Played 30 1
Wins 4 0
Draws 8 0
Losses 18 1
Goals Scored 0.83 2
Goals Conceded 1.47 5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Balma vs Luzenac
1:4
Sep 27, 2008 National 1 - Group C
Luzenac vs Balma
1:1
Feb 16, 2008 National 1 - Group C
Balma vs Luzenac
1:1
Sep 1, 2007 National 1 - Group C
Luzenac vs Balma
1:0
Jan 20, 2007 National 1 - Group C
Balma vs Luzenac
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balma 31 / 100
Luzenac 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balma Luzenac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Luzenac conceded in 100% of 1 recent games.

Balma's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Balma remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Balma VS Luzenac
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Balma

(Home)
11 Aug
Balma
2 : 2
Bergerac
11 Nov
Balma
0 : 3
Les Herbiers
03 Dec
Balma
0 : 3
Bergerac
12 Nov
Balma
3 : 0
Luc Primaube
15 Nov
Genets
1 : 0
Balma
Page 1 of 6

Luzenac

(Away)
18 Nov
Luzenac
2 : 5
Rodez

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzenac 34 20 9 5 59:26 103
2 Moulins 34 18 8 8 56:41 96
3 Pau 34 17 9 8 42:25 94
4 Fontenay 34 16 9 9 37:32 91
5 Moulins-Yzeure 34 15 9 10 60:43 88
6 Bordeaux II 34 14 10 10 41:35 86
7 Le Mans II 34 12 12 10 35:33 82
8 Romorantin 34 13 10 11 49:49 82
9 Lucon 34 12 11 11 39:37 81
10 Aurillac 34 10 14 10 48:44 78
11 Colomiers 34 9 14 11 33:32 75
12 Montlucon 34 9 12 13 43:54 73
13 Balma 34 9 9 16 47:54 70
14 Albi 34 10 6 18 27:42 70
15 Genets 34 9 8 17 35:53 69
16 Chatellerault 34 7 13 14 50:66 68
17 Stade Bordelais 34 7 11 16 27:47 66
18 Bergerac 34 4 16 14 32:47 62
Promotion - National 2009/2010 (Main)