Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Balma vs Montlucon

France France

CFA - Group C 2009/2010
Balma Logo

Balma

1 - 2
FT
Montlucon Logo

Montlucon

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Montlucon in this CFA - Group C 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montlucon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Balma
15%
Draws
51%
Montlucon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montlucon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montlucon lately — more wins on the board than Balma.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Montlucon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Montlucon here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Balma Clean Sheet 14%
Montlucon Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balma Montlucon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.83 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2010 National 1 - Group C
Balma vs Montlucon
1:2
Aug 15, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Montlucon vs Balma
1:0
Mar 14, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Montlucon vs Balma
3:2
Sep 20, 2008 National 1 - Group C
Balma vs Montlucon
0:3
May 26, 2007 National 1 - Group C
Montlucon vs Balma
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balma 11 / 100
Montlucon 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balma Montlucon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montlucon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Balma scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Montlucon conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Montlucon's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Balma VS Montlucon
0.75 Goals Scored 1.71
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.14
50% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Balma

(Home)
11 Aug
Balma
2 : 2
Bergerac
11 Nov
Balma
0 : 3
Les Herbiers
03 Dec
Balma
0 : 3
Bergerac
12 Nov
Balma
3 : 0
Luc Primaube
15 Nov
Genets
1 : 0
Balma
Page 1 of 6

Montlucon

(Away)
13 Nov
Montlucon
0 : 1
Bergerac
17 Nov
Montlucon
0 : 1
Viry-Chatillon
20 Nov
Montlucon
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
29 May
Montlucon
4 : 2
Toulouse Fontaines Club
22 May
PSG II
1 : 6
Montlucon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niort 34 18 11 5 53:23 99
2 Moulins-Yzeure 34 16 10 8 39:29 92
3 Lucon 34 15 11 8 45:39 90
4 PSG II 34 13 15 6 37:28 88
5 Albi 34 14 12 8 42:40 88
6 Montlucon 34 14 10 10 45:36 86
7 Colomiers 34 13 9 12 33:29 82
8 Les Herbiers 34 12 13 9 48:44 82
9 Libourne 34 10 14 10 35:31 78
10 Le Mans II 34 10 14 10 42:35 78
11 Red Star 34 11 9 14 38:44 76
12 Pau 34 9 12 13 30:35 73
13 Aurillac 34 8 14 12 26:40 72
14 Fontenay 34 6 18 10 31:41 70
15 Genets 34 9 9 16 29:42 70
16 Bordeaux II 34 9 11 14 23:32 69
17 Balma 34 6 12 16 28:42 64
18 Toulouse Fontaines Club 34 6 10 18 25:39 62
Promotion - National 2010/2011 (Main)