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Balmaseda vs SCD Durango

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 game between Balmaseda and SCD Durango finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Balmaseda
35%
Draws
27%
SCD Durango
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Balmaseda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • SCD Durango carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Balmaseda Clean Sheet 17%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balmaseda SCD Durango
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 12 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs SCD Durango
0:0
Apr 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Balmaseda
1:1
Apr 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Balmaseda
0:0
Nov 30, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs SCD Durango
1:0
Mar 16, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs SCD Durango
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balmaseda 31 / 100
SCD Durango 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balmaseda SCD Durango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Durango Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Balmaseda remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Balmaseda found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: SCD Durango conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS SCD Durango
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Balmaseda

(Home)
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3
Balmaseda
05 Jun
Balmaseda
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
29 May
Santurtzi
1 : 2
Balmaseda
23 May
Balmaseda
0 : 0
SCD Durango
19 May
Balmaseda
2 : 2
Santurtzi
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SCD Durango

(Away)
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0
UD Aretxabaleta
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3
San Ignacio
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Pasaia
09 May
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Santurtzi
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