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Balmaseda vs Sodupe

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Balmaseda in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Balmaseda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Balmaseda
35%
Draws
27%
Sodupe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Balmaseda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Sodupe at 1.03 per game, Balmaseda at 1.
  • Win probability leans Balmaseda's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Balmaseda Clean Sheet 15%
Sodupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balmaseda Sodupe
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 14 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Balmaseda
3:0
Apr 10, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Sodupe
1:0
Jan 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Balmaseda
0:0
Sep 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Sodupe
2:1
May 11, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Sodupe
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balmaseda 41 / 100
Sodupe 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balmaseda Sodupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balmaseda went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Balmaseda found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Sodupe conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Balmaseda VS Sodupe
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Balmaseda

(Home)
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3
Balmaseda
05 Jun
Balmaseda
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
29 May
Santurtzi
1 : 2
Balmaseda
23 May
Balmaseda
0 : 0
SCD Durango
19 May
Balmaseda
2 : 2
Santurtzi
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Sodupe

(Away)
26 Sept
Sodupe
0 : 3
Aurrera de Vitoria
20 Sept
Amurrio Club
0 : 0
Sodupe
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
06 Sept
Real Union B
0 : 2
Sodupe
12 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 2
Sodupe
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