Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 game between Balmaseda and Somorrostro finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Balmaseda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Balmaseda haven't matched Somorrostro's recent run of results.
- 33% — that's where the model lands on Somorrostro taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Balmaseda Clean Sheet 19%
Somorrostro Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Balmaseda | Somorrostro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Somorrostro
1:1
Jan 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs Balmaseda
1:1
Jan 18, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Somorrostro
1:3
Aug 31, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs Balmaseda
0:1
Mar 2, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Somorrostro
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Balmaseda 28 / 100
Somorrostro 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Balmaseda Somorrostro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Somorrostro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Balmaseda remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Balmaseda scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Somorrostro has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Balmaseda VS Somorrostro
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Balmaseda
(Home) 12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3 Balmaseda
05 Jun
Balmaseda
2 : 0 Lagun Onak
29 May
Santurtzi
1 : 2 Balmaseda
23 May
Balmaseda
0 : 0 SCD Durango
19 May
Balmaseda
2 : 2 Santurtzi
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05 Jun
Balmaseda
2 : 0 Lagun Onak
23 May
Balmaseda
0 : 0 SCD Durango
19 May
Balmaseda
2 : 2 Santurtzi
08 May
Balmaseda
2 : 0 CD Ariznabarra
10 Apr
Balmaseda
1 : 0 Sodupe
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Somorrostro
(Away) 29 Aug
Santurtzi
1 : 3 Somorrostro
12 Jun
Sodupe
1 : 3 Somorrostro
05 Jun
Somorrostro
1 : 1 CD Ariznabarra
29 May
Lagun Onak
2 : 1 Somorrostro
22 May
Somorrostro
3 : 0 Santurtzi
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29 Aug
Santurtzi
1 : 3 Somorrostro
12 Jun
Sodupe
1 : 3 Somorrostro
29 May
Lagun Onak
2 : 1 Somorrostro
15 May
SCD Durango
0 : 0 Somorrostro
02 May
CD Ariznabarra
4 : 2 Somorrostro
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gernika Club | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 43 |
| 2 | Real Sociedad C | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 48:27 | 40 |
| 3 | Sestao | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 40:13 | 39 |
| 4 | SD Deusto | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 30:24 | 36 |
| 5 | Santutxu FC | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 20:23 | 29 |
| 6 | Beasain | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 20:14 | 27 |
| 7 | Tolosa | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 21:26 | 24 |
| 8 | Aurrera Ondarroa | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23:31 | 20 |
| 9 | Balmaseda | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 22:27 | 18 |
| 10 | Somorrostro | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20:31 | 17 |
| 11 | Urgatzi | 20 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 11:62 | 10 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Vitoria | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 20:4 | 35 |
| 2 | Urduliz FT | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 28:18 | 35 |
| 3 | Pasaia | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 22:14 | 34 |
| 4 | Basconia | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 24:15 | 30 |
| 5 | Anaitasuna FT | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 20:19 | 30 |
| 6 | San Ignacio | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19:19 | 29 |
| 7 | Santurtzi | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 18:27 | 23 |
| 8 | SCD Durango | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Sodupe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | 20 |
| 10 | CD Ariznabarra | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 12:28 | 16 |
| 11 | Lagun Onak | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 17:31 | 15 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
