Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024

Deportiva Minera

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Balsicas Atletico play Deportiva Minera in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Balsicas Atletico averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Deportiva Minera averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.82 conceded. In past meetings, Balsicas Atletico won 0, Deportiva Minera won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 4, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Balsicas Atletico and 1.30 for Deportiva Minera. This points to a Deportiva Minera double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Balsicas Atletico

21%

Draws

53%

Deportiva Minera

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Deportiva Minera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Balsicas Atletico picked up more points recently compared to Deportiva Minera.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.30 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 37%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Balsicas Atletico Clean Sheet 19%

Deportiva Minera Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Balsicas Atletico	Deportiva Minera
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	8	19
Draws	8	5
Losses	14	9
Goals Scored	1.03	1.3
Goals Conceded	1.63	0.82

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Deportiva Minera vs Balsicas Atletico

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Balsicas Atletico vs Deportiva Minera

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 2 - 0

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Balsicas Atletico Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Deportiva Minera Compare

Top Goalscorer Valdeolivas D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Matallana Martinez F. J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balsicas Atletico 27 / 100

Deportiva Minera 51 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Balsicas Atletico Deportiva Minera

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportiva Minera Win (2)

Secondary Pick Deportiva Minera & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +44.6%

5.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.5%

3.23

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Balsicas Atletico attacking → ← attacking Deportiva Minera

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balsicas Atletico scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Deportiva Minera let in goals in 55% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Balsicas Atletico went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Deportiva Minera lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 62

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportiva Minera	34	24	6	4	53:19	78
2	Real Murcia B	34	20	8	6	67:33	68
3	Ciudad Cieza	34	19	11	4	44:24	68
4	UCAM Murcia B	34	19	5	10	42:24	62
5	Caravaca	34	18	7	9	60:32	61
6	Lorca Deportiva	34	17	8	9	64:30	59
7	Molinense	34	18	5	11	60:34	59
8	CA Pulpileno	34	13	13	8	39:23	52
9	Muleno CF	34	12	7	15	37:42	43
10	Racing Murcia	34	11	7	16	36:51	40
11	Plus Ultra	34	12	2	20	43:56	38
12	E.G. El Palmar	34	9	9	16	33:52	36
13	Bullense	34	10	6	18	40:65	36
14	Balsicas Atletico	34	9	9	16	35:53	36
15	Alcantarilla	34	10	6	18	34:41	36
16	Ciudad de Murcia	34	7	9	18	28:43	30
17	CD Algar	34	7	8	19	31:65	29
18	Montecasillas	34	7	2	25	31:90	23