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Ulyanovsk

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Baltika play Ulyanovsk in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Baltika averaged 1.57 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Ulyanovsk averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Baltika won 3, Ulyanovsk won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 26, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Baltika and 0.69 for Ulyanovsk. This points to a Baltika double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Baltika

27%

Draws

30%

Ulyanovsk

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Baltika

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Baltika picked up more points recently compared to Ulyanovsk.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 0.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Baltika Clean Sheet 28%

Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Baltika	Ulyanovsk
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	13	10
Draws	8	9
Losses	7	10
Goals Scored	1.57	1.14
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Club Friendly

Baltika vs Ulyanovsk

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 2 - 1

3:0

May 13, 2023 FNL

Ulyanovsk vs Baltika

Possession: 55% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

Oct 23, 2022 FNL

Baltika vs Ulyanovsk

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 1 - 4

2:2

Sep 28, 2008 FNL

Baltika vs Ulyanovsk

Possession: 42% - 47% Cards: 3 - 0

2:0

Jun 7, 2008 FNL

Ulyanovsk vs Baltika

Possession: 50% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baltika Compare

Top Goalscorer Yenne T.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Nikishin K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Ulyanovsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltika 44 / 100

Ulyanovsk 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Baltika Ulyanovsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Baltika or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Baltika attacking → ← attacking Ulyanovsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baltika scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Ulyanovsk let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Baltika went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ulyanovsk lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 39

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50