Sport Picks
Baltika vs Zenit St Petersburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Premier League Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad 
Match Events
9'
9'
Glushenkov M.
Assist: Karpukas A.
16'
16'
Sobolev A.
Assist: Pedrinho
22'
22'
Gil B.
Assist: Shiltsov K.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Baltika and Zenit St Petersburg finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zenit St Petersburg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zenit St Petersburg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Zenit St Petersburg carry the better recent record into this one.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Zenit St Petersburg taking it.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Zenit St Petersburg have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Baltika Clean Sheet 16%
Zenit St Petersburg Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Baltika | Zenit St Petersburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 21 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 0.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 Premier League
Baltika vs Zenit St Petersburg
2:3
Aug 5, 2026 Russian Cup
Zenit St Petersburg vs Baltika
1:0
Mar 3, 2026 Russian Cup
Baltika vs Zenit St Petersburg
0:1
Feb 27, 2026 Premier League
Zenit St Petersburg vs Baltika
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Premier League
Baltika vs Zenit St Petersburg
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Baltika Compare
Top Goalscorer Gil B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Petrov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Zenit St Petersburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Glushenkov M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sobolev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Baltika 28 / 100
Zenit St Petersburg 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Baltika Zenit St Petersburg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zenit St Petersburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Baltika found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Zenit St Petersburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.
Baltika has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Baltika VS Zenit St Petersburg
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Baltika
(Home) 16 Sept
Baltika
2 : 3 Zenit St Petersburg
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2 Baltika
06 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Lokomotiv Moscow
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
30 Aug
Rodina Moscow
0 : 3 Baltika
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Baltika
2 : 3 Zenit St Petersburg
06 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Lokomotiv Moscow
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
24 Aug
Baltika
1 : 1 Rubin Kazan
20 Aug
Baltika
2 : 1 Dynamo Makhachkala
Page 1 of 3
Zenit St Petersburg
(Away) 04 Oct
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 0 BATE
27 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
16 Sept
Baltika
2 : 3 Zenit St Petersburg
12 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1 Lokomotiv Moscow
05 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 2 CSKA Moscow
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
16 Sept
Baltika
2 : 3 Zenit St Petersburg
29 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
23 Aug
Spartak Moscow
2 : 0 Zenit St Petersburg
19 Aug
Krylya Sovetov Samara
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 | Zenit St Petersburg | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 6 | Orenburg | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 9 | Baltika | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 11 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 12 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11:19 | 8 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | 3 |
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)
