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Baltika vs Zenit St Petersburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Zenit St Petersburg have shipped 0.72 goals a game lately, while Baltika have conceded 0.96 and scored 1.46. Head-to-head, Baltika have won 0 to Zenit St Petersburg's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 16, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (0.94 - 1.50) back Zenit St Petersburg to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Baltika
30%
Draws
50%
Zenit St Petersburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zenit St Petersburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Zenit St Petersburg have won more games recently than Baltika.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Zenit St Petersburg arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zenit St Petersburg, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Zenit St Petersburg have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Baltika Clean Sheet 16%
Zenit St Petersburg Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltika Zenit St Petersburg
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 24
Draws 9 2
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.46 2.1
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Premier League
Baltika vs Zenit St Petersburg
2:3
Aug 5, 2026 Russian Cup
Zenit St Petersburg vs Baltika
1:0
Mar 3, 2026 Russian Cup
Baltika vs Zenit St Petersburg
0:1
Feb 27, 2026 Premier League
Zenit St Petersburg vs Baltika
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Premier League
Baltika vs Zenit St Petersburg
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltika 36 / 100
Zenit St Petersburg 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltika Zenit St Petersburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zenit St Petersburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Baltika scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Baltika has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Zenit St Petersburg has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baltika VS Zenit St Petersburg
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Baltika

(Home)
24 Oct
Krasnodar
1 : 1
Baltika
18 Oct
Baltika
0 : 0
FK Rostov
14 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
0 : 2
Baltika
11 Oct
Akhmat Grozny
0 : 0
Baltika
16 Sept
Baltika
2 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg
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Zenit St Petersburg

(Away)
25 Oct
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala
18 Oct
Zenit St Petersburg
3 : 2
Akhmat Grozny
14 Oct
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 2
Zenit St Petersburg
10 Oct
Krasnodar
2 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg
04 Oct
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 0
BATE
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Moscow 4 3 0 1 13:5 10
2 Orenburg 4 2 0 2 10:8 7
3 Rubin Kazan 4 2 0 2 3:11 4
4 Rodina Moscow 4 1 0 3 9:11 3
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Moscow 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
2 Krasnodar 4 3 0 1 3:4 7
3 Akhmat Grozny 4 1 0 3 4:7 4
4 Fakel Voronezh 4 1 0 3 4:4 4
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 4 4 0 0 6:1 11
2 Baltika 4 2 0 2 3:2 6
3 Krylya Sovetov Samara 4 2 0 2 2:3 6
4 Dynamo Makhachkala 4 0 0 4 3:8 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Rostov 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
2 Akron Togliatti 4 3 0 1 2:5 7
3 CSKA Moscow 4 2 0 2 5:4 5
4 Lokomotiv Moscow 4 0 0 4 2:3 3
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)