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Baltimore vs Real du Cap

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Championnat National 2021 game between Baltimore and Real du Cap finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baltimore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Baltimore
15%
Draws
20%
Real du Cap
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baltimore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Real du Cap's 1.17 goals per match outpaces what Baltimore have produced (0.77).
  • Baltimore are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championnat National 2021 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Baltimore Clean Sheet 20%
Real du Cap Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltimore Real du Cap
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 0.77 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.53 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2020 Championnat National
Baltimore vs Real du Cap
1:0
Oct 6, 2019 Championnat National
Real du Cap vs Baltimore
0:0
Apr 4, 2019 Championnat National
Baltimore vs Real du Cap
0:0
Sep 16, 2018 Championnat National
Baltimore vs Real du Cap
0:1
Mar 4, 2018 Championnat National
Real du Cap vs Baltimore
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltimore 76 / 100
Real du Cap 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltimore Real du Cap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baltimore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real du Cap let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Baltimore remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Real du Cap lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Baltimore's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Baltimore VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Baltimore

(Home)
26 Jul
Baltimore
:
Helenites
11 May
Baltimore
2 : 0
Tempete
04 May
Triomphe Liancourt
0 : 1
Baltimore
27 Apr
Tempete
0 : 0
Baltimore
20 Apr
Baltimore
2 : 1
Triomphe Liancourt
Page 1 of 6

Real du Cap

(Away)
29 May
Real du Cap
1 : 2
Rivartibonitienne
23 May
Juventus
2 : 1
Real du Cap
19 May
Real du Cap
0 : 1
Mirebalais
16 May
Real du Cap
2 : 0
Fica
13 May
Racing Haitien
4 : 0
Real du Cap
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arcahaie 17 9 3 5 20:10 30
2 Baltimore 17 8 6 3 12:5 30
3 Triomphe Liancourt 17 9 3 5 17:15 30
4 AS Capoise 17 7 6 4 16:12 27
5 Racing Haitien 17 8 3 6 17:14 27
6 Violette 17 5 10 2 18:13 25
7 Cavaly 17 7 4 6 16:14 25
8 America des Cayes 17 7 4 6 16:15 25
9 Real du Cap 17 6 5 6 21:15 23
10 Tempete 17 6 4 7 18:15 22
11 Juventus 17 6 4 7 12:16 22
12 Rivartibonitienne 17 5 5 7 15:22 20
13 Don Bosco 17 4 7 6 20:21 19
14 Ouanaminthe 17 4 6 7 11:18 18
15 Cosmopolites 17 4 6 7 13:23 18
16 Fica 17 2 11 4 17:16 17
17 Racing des Gonaives 17 3 7 7 12:18 16
18 Mirebalais 17 2 8 7 10:19 14
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Ouverture - Play Offs)
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Ouverture - Play Offs)