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Baltyk Koszalin vs Nielba Wagrowiec

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Lesniewski R.
(Penalty)
37' Event
Przemyslaw L.
44' Event
Ginter S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Baltyk Koszalin
11%
Draws
80%
Nielba Wagrowiec
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Nielba Wagrowiec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Baltyk Koszalin have won more games recently than Nielba Wagrowiec.
  • Model gives Nielba Wagrowiec a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Baltyk Koszalin Clean Sheet 20%
Nielba Wagrowiec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltyk Koszalin Nielba Wagrowiec
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.13 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Nielba Wagrowiec
2:2
Nov 7, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Nielba Wagrowiec vs Baltyk Koszalin
1:1
Apr 4, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Nielba Wagrowiec
0:0
Aug 24, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Nielba Wagrowiec vs Baltyk Koszalin
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baltyk Koszalin Compare

Top Goalscorer Ginter S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Duszkiewicz L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nielba Wagrowiec Compare

Top Goalscorer Przemyslaw L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltyk Koszalin 12 / 100
Nielba Wagrowiec 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltyk Koszalin Nielba Wagrowiec

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baltyk Koszalin scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Nielba Wagrowiec let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Nielba Wagrowiec's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Baltyk Koszalin VS Nielba Wagrowiec
1.13 Goals Scored 0.67
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 0%