Sport Picks
Baltyk Koszalin vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
38'
38'
Ratajczak P.
53'
53'
Mikita P.
86'
86'
Mikita P.
AI Match Summary
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Polonia Sroda Wielkopol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Polonia Sroda Wielkopol lately — more wins on the board than Baltyk Koszalin.
- Win probability leans Polonia Sroda Wielkopol's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Baltyk Koszalin Clean Sheet 10%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Baltyk Koszalin | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 2.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:3
Mar 26, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Baltyk Koszalin
2:1
Aug 22, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:1
Mar 13, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Baltyk Koszalin
2:2
Mar 21, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Baltyk Koszalin Compare
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare
Top Goalscorer Mikita P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ratajczak P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Baltyk Koszalin 22 / 100
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Baltyk Koszalin Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Baltyk Koszalin's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Baltyk Koszalin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Baltyk Koszalin VS Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1.63 Goals Scored 3
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Baltyk Koszalin
(Home) 10 Oct
Baltyk Koszalin
1 : 1 Unia Swarzedz
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3 Baltyk Koszalin
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1 Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2 Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Baltyk Koszalin
1 : 1 Unia Swarzedz
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2 Blekitni Stargard
29 Aug
Baltyk Koszalin
2 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
23 Aug
Baltyk Koszalin
1 : 1 KKS Kalisz
Page 1 of 3
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
(Away) 09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0 Kluczevia Stargard
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2 Elana Torun
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
05 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
4 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
22 Aug
Lipno Steszew
2 : 3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
14 Aug
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30:23 | 18 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 8 | KKS Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19:33 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15:26 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
