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Baltyk Koszalin vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baltyk Koszalin host Polonia Sroda Wielkopol in the III Liga - Group II. This one's hard to separate. Polonia Sroda Wielkopol have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Baltyk Koszalin have conceded 0.5 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Polonia Sroda Wielkopol slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 26, 2022, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 0.94) point toward Polonia Sroda Wielkopol. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Baltyk Koszalin
30%
Draws
34%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Baltyk Koszalin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Polonia Sroda Wielkopol lately — more wins on the board than Baltyk Koszalin.
  • Win probability leans Baltyk Koszalin's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Baltyk Koszalin Clean Sheet 20%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltyk Koszalin Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 9 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Baltyk Koszalin
2:1
Aug 22, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:1
Mar 13, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Baltyk Koszalin
2:2
Mar 21, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:0
Aug 14, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Baltyk Koszalin
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltyk Koszalin 36 / 100
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltyk Koszalin Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baltyk Koszalin's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol has conceded goals in 77% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Away concern: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Baltyk Koszalin VS Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Baltyk Koszalin

(Home)
18 Jul
Swinoujscie
1 : 2
Baltyk Koszalin
25 Jan
Blekitni Stargard
4 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
23 Jul
Gryf Slupsk
3 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
18 Jun
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 2
Blekitni Stargard
11 Jun
Pogon Szczecin II
3 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
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Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

(Away)
18 Jul
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0 : 3
Ol. Grudziadz
15 Jul
Warta Sieradz
2 : 1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
08 Jul
Zawisza
1 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
23 May
Kluczevia Stargard
1 : 2
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Swinoujscie00000:00
2Unia Swarzedz00000:00
3Elana Torun00000:00
4Polonia Sroda Wielkopol00000:00
5Baltyk Koszalin00000:00
6Victoria Wrzesnia00000:00
7Blekitni Stargard00000:00
8Wda Swiecie00000:00
9Lech Poznan II00000:00
10KKS Kalisz00000:00
11Chemik Bydgoszcz00000:00
12Gedania Gdansk00000:00
13Grom Nowy Staw00000:00
14Luzino00000:00
15Kotwica Kornik00000:00
16Kluczevia Stargard00000:00
17Notec Czarnkow00000:00
18Lipno Steszew00000:00
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)