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Balvu SC vs FK Smiltene Prediction & H2H Stats

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1. Liga 2019
Balvu SC Logo

Balvu SC

1 - 4
FT
FK Smiltene Logo

FK Smiltene

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Smiltene in this 1. Liga 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Smiltene.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Balvu SC
15%
Draws
85%
FK Smiltene
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Smiltene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Smiltene lately — more wins on the board than Balvu SC.
  • Win probability leans FK Smiltene's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FK Smiltene have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Balvu SC Clean Sheet 20%
FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balvu SC FK Smiltene
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 2 9
Draws 0 6
Losses 28 18
Goals Scored 0.87 1.82
Goals Conceded 5.4 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2019 1. Liga
Balvu SC vs FK Smiltene
1:4
Aug 17, 2019 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs Balvu SC
7:1
May 18, 2019 1. Liga
Balvu SC vs FK Smiltene
1:6
Sep 8, 2018 1. Liga
Balvu SC vs FK Smiltene
1:2
Jun 17, 2018 Latvian Cup
Balvu SC vs FK Smiltene
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balvu SC 10 / 100
FK Smiltene 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balvu SC FK Smiltene

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Smiltene Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Smiltene has conceded goals in 91% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

Balvu SC found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

FK Smiltene's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Smiltene
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Balvu SC

(Home)
10 Nov
Balvu SC
0 : 2
Super Nova
02 Nov
Dinamo Riga
7 : 1
Balvu SC
26 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 4
FK Smiltene
19 Oct
Rezekne
5 : 2
Balvu SC
12 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 2
New Project
Page 1 of 6

FK Smiltene

(Away)
19 Sept
Super Nova 2
0 : 2
FK Smiltene
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1
Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6
FK Metta
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tukums 2000 27 24 2 1 112:14 74
2 Super Nova 27 19 1 7 95:27 58
3 FK Smiltene 27 17 2 8 78:52 53
4 Alberts JDFS 27 16 3 8 70:47 51
5 FK Auda Riga 27 14 3 10 62:51 45
6 Rezekne 27 13 4 10 72:56 43
7 Grobina 27 10 0 17 56:104 30
8 New Project 27 6 2 19 35:62 20
9 Dinamo Riga 27 6 1 20 39:78 19
10 Balvu SC 27 1 0 26 23:151 3
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