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Bamber Bridge vs Lancaster

England England

NPL Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Evangelinos N.
38' Event
Knight-Percival N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Bamber Bridge
30%
Draws
47%
Lancaster
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lancaster

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Lancaster have won more games recently than Bamber Bridge.
  • Model gives Lancaster a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Bamber Bridge Clean Sheet 12%
Lancaster Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bamber Bridge Lancaster
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.11 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Bamber Bridge vs Lancaster
1:1
Dec 26, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Bamber Bridge
1:3
Apr 21, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Bamber Bridge
1:4
Dec 26, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Bamber Bridge vs Lancaster
2:3
Apr 1, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Bamber Bridge
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bamber Bridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Knight-Percival N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Lancaster Compare

Top Goalscorer Evangelinos N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bamber Bridge 27 / 100
Lancaster 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bamber Bridge Lancaster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Bamber Bridge found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Lancaster's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Bamber Bridge went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bamber Bridge VS Lancaster
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bamber Bridge

(Home)
11 Aug
Bamber Bridge
1 : 6
Avro
08 Aug
Cleethorpes
2 : 0
Bamber Bridge
28 Jul
Ramsbottom Utd
1 : 3
Bamber Bridge
21 Jul
Thornton Cleveleys
1 : 1
Bamber Bridge
18 Jul
Bamber Bridge
0 : 3
Morecambe
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Lancaster

(Away)
11 Aug
Lancaster
1 : 0
Warrington Rylands
08 Aug
Ashton United
4 : 1
Lancaster
21 Jul
Lancaster
2 : 2
Preston U21
25 Apr
Lancaster
2 : 0
Stocksbridge
18 Apr
Stockton
1 : 1
Lancaster
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebburn Town 40 23 10 7 75:41 79
2 Hednesford 40 22 11 7 62:35 77
3 United of Manchester 40 21 9 10 65:41 72
4 Warrington Rylands 40 18 13 9 59:42 67
5 Stockton 40 18 12 10 62:50 63
6 Lancaster 40 17 11 12 56:45 62
7 Gainsborough 40 16 11 13 50:45 59
8 Leek Town 40 17 7 16 50:52 58
9 Cleethorpes 40 14 13 13 56:47 55
10 Ashton United 40 14 11 15 47:54 53
11 Ilkeston 40 15 7 18 52:54 52
12 Bamber Bridge 40 14 8 18 52:52 50
13 Guiseley 40 13 9 18 46:56 48
14 Warrington Town 40 12 12 16 43:63 48
15 Hyde 40 11 14 15 58:63 47
16 Rushall 40 12 11 17 48:61 47
17 Whitby 40 10 13 17 43:55 43
18 Workington 40 10 13 17 43:58 43
19 Prescot Cables 40 9 15 16 40:50 42
20 Morpeth 40 12 6 22 38:54 42
21 Stocksbridge 40 8 12 20 38:65 36
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)