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Bamber Bridge vs Workington - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bamber Bridge host Workington in the NPL Premier Division. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Bamber Bridge at 1.11 goals for, 2.32 against; Workington at 1.63 for, 1.52 against. Head-to-head, Bamber Bridge have won 3 to Workington's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Dec 6, 2025, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 2.44) point toward Workington. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Bamber Bridge
30%
Draws
47%
Workington
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Workington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Workington lately — more wins on the board than Bamber Bridge.
  • Bamber Bridge are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Bamber Bridge Clean Sheet 10%
Workington Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bamber Bridge Workington
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 5 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.11 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.32 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Bamber Bridge
1:3
Sep 6, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Bamber Bridge vs Workington
1:2
Feb 11, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Bamber Bridge vs Workington
1:2
Oct 26, 2024 FA Trophy
Workington vs Bamber Bridge
2:3
Sep 17, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Bamber Bridge
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bamber Bridge 40 / 100
Workington 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bamber Bridge Workington

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Bamber Bridge scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Workington's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Bamber Bridge stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bamber Bridge VS Workington
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bamber Bridge

(Home)
10 Oct
Whitby
0 : 0
Bamber Bridge
03 Oct
Bamber Bridge
2 : 4
Quorn
26 Sept
Guiseley
4 : 2
Bamber Bridge
19 Sept
Stockton
5 : 2
Bamber Bridge
12 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0
Alfreton
Page 1 of 6

Workington

(Away)
10 Oct
Quorn
3 : 0
Workington
06 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2
Workington
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1
Cleethorpes
29 Sept
AFC Emley
1 : 3
Workington
26 Sept
Workington
4 : 2
Blyth Spartans
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 13 9 3 1 30:7 30
2 Redcar Athletic 13 8 4 1 28:11 28
3 Guiseley 12 8 1 3 25:11 25
4 Avro 11 8 1 2 33:20 25
5 Curzon Ashton 11 7 1 3 23:11 22
6 Workington 13 6 3 4 23:22 21
7 Warrington Rylands 13 6 2 5 20:20 20
8 Bury FC 11 6 1 4 22:11 19
9 Gainsborough 11 6 1 4 22:15 19
10 Warrington Town 11 5 4 2 22:18 19
11 Alfreton 13 6 0 7 20:16 18
12 Lancaster 13 5 2 6 18:26 17
13 Hyde 13 4 2 7 13:23 14
14 Ashton United 11 3 4 4 14:13 13
15 Quorn 12 3 4 5 21:27 13
16 Whitby 12 4 1 7 17:32 13
17 Stockton 13 3 3 7 17:24 12
18 Leek Town 12 2 5 5 24:25 11
19 AFC Emley 12 2 4 6 11:24 10
20 Bamber Bridge 12 2 4 6 16:31 10
21 Ilkeston 13 2 1 10 7:31 7
22 United of Manchester 11 1 3 7 14:22 6
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)