Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bamberg vs Weiden

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord
Tue, Jul 21, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bamberg host Weiden in the Oberliga Bayern Nord. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Bamberg at 1.25 goals for, 1.38 against; Weiden at 1.63 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, Bamberg have won 1 to Weiden's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 10, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.50, favoring Bamberg. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bamberg
40%
Draws
29%
Weiden
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Weiden at 1.63 per game, Bamberg at 1.25.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bamberg Clean Sheet 16%
Weiden Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bamberg Weiden
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 13
Draws 11 10
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Bamberg
3:0
Aug 9, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Bamberg vs Weiden
1:1
Apr 8, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Bamberg vs Weiden
3:0
Sep 2, 2022 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Bamberg
2:2
Apr 12, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Bamberg
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bamberg 31 / 100
Weiden 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bamberg Weiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bamberg scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Weiden conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Bamberg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bamberg VS Weiden
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bamberg

(Home)
11 Jul
Bamberg
1 : 3
Greuther Furth
16 May
TSV Kornburg
1 : 4
Bamberg
09 May
Bamberg
1 : 1
Eltersdorf
02 May
Gebenbach
4 : 0
Bamberg
25 Apr
Bamberg
2 : 2
Cham
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Weiden

(Away)
16 May
Fortuna Regensburg
4 : 2
Weiden
08 May
Weiden
5 : 0
Coburg
02 May
TSV Kornburg
1 : 1
Weiden
24 Apr
Weiden
0 : 0
Eltersdorf
21 Apr
ASV Neumarkt
1 : 2
Weiden
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cham11003:03
2Gebenbach11002:03
3DJK Ammerthal11001:03
4Ingolstadt II10104:41
5Stadeln10104:41
6Wurzburger FV10103:31
7Regensburg II10103:31
8Aschaffenburg00000:00
9Grossbardorf00000:00
10Bamberg00000:00
11Weiden00000:00
12DJK Don Bosco Bamberg00000:00
13Neudrossenfeld00000:00
14TSV Kornburg00000:00
15Fortuna Regensburg00000:00
16ASV Neumarkt10010:10
17Nordlingen10010:20
18Bayern Hof10010:30
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)